2016 Election Projections
- Presidential Elections- Senate Elections
- House Elections
- Governor Elections
National Presidential Polls
- Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton- Three-way race with Gary Johnson
- Four-way race with Jill Stein
To zip directly to the polls or projections for the races you are following, use the helpful "2016 Elections on Demand" tool at the top of the page.
Pillars of Power
Election Projection Polling Averages
| Matchup | Poll Count | EP Poll Average | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
Click on a matchup for poll details | |||
| Clinton vs. Trump | 2 | Clinton: 42.0 - Trump: 39.0 | Clinton +3.0 |
| Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein | 7 | Clinton: 43.3 - Trump: 42.7 Johnson: 6.0 - Stein: 2.0 | Clinton +0.6 |
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He needs a low turnout election to prevail. |
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Can you match prognosticating wits with EP? |
Older Polling Averages
| Matchup | Poll Count | EP Poll Average | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton vs. Cruz | 2 | Clinton: 47.5 - Cruz: 37.5 | Clinton +10.0 |
| Clinton vs. Rubio | 2 | Clinton: 44.5 - Rubio: 44.0 | Clinton +0.5 |
| Clinton vs. Bush | 2 | Clinton: 44.0 - Bush: 42.5 | Clinton +1.5 |
| Clinton vs. Carson | 2 | Clinton: 46.5 - Carson: 42.0 | Clinton +4.5 |
| Sanders vs. Trump | 2 | Sanders: 56.0 - Trump: 34.5 | Sanders +21.5 |
| Sanders vs. Cruz | 2 | Sanders: 58.5 - Cruz: 31.5 | Sanders +27.0 |
| Sanders vs. Rubio | 2 | Sanders: 54.5 - Rubio: 36.0 | Sanders +18.5 |
| Sanders vs. Bush | 2 | Sanders: 48.0 - Bush: 42.0 | Sanders +6.0 |
| Sanders vs. Carson | 1 | Sanders: 46.0 - Carson: 41.0 | Sanders +5.0 |
| Clinton vs. Fiorina | 2 | Clinton: 44.5 - Fiorina: 42.5 | Clinton +2.0 |
| Clinton vs. Christie | 2 | Clinton: 44.5 - Christie: 42.5 | Clinton +2.0 |
| Clinton vs. Paul | 2 | Clinton: 44.5 - Paul: 44.0 | Clinton +0.5 |
| Clinton vs. Kasich | 2 | Clinton: 39.5 - Kasich: 46.5 | Kasich +7.0 |
| Sanders vs. Fiorina | 1 | Sanders: 47.0 - Fiorina: 45.0 | Sanders +2.0 |
| Sanders vs. Christie | 1 | Sanders: 57.0 - Christie: 34.0 | Sanders +23.0 |
| Sanders vs. Kasich | 2 | Sanders: 52.0 - Kasich: 38.5 | Sanders +13.5 |
| Biden vs. Trump | 2 | Biden: 53.0 - Trump: 39.0 | Biden +14.0 |
| Biden vs. Bush | 1 | Biden: 45.0 - Bush: 46.0 | Bush +1.0 |
| Clinton vs. Walker | 2 | Clinton: 44.5 - Walker: 42.5 | Clinton +2.0 |
| Clinton vs. Bush vs. Trump | 1 | Clinton: 43.0 - Bush: 22.0 - Trump: 28.0 | Clinton +15.0 |