The original election projection website, since 2003
| Republican John Faso Nominee |
Open Seat | Democrat Zephyr Teachout Nominee |
| Pundit Predictions | ||
|---|---|---|
| Pundit | Date | Rating |
| Charlie Cook | January 5 | Toss-up |
| Larry Sabato | January 5 | Toss-up |
| Stuart Rothenberg | September 30 | Toss-up |
| Click here for all New York 19th District Pundit Ratings | ||
| Latest Polls | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | Dates | Teachout | Faso | Spread |
| EP Poll Average | 44.5 | 41.5 | Teachout +3.0 | |
| WNYT-TV/SurveyUSA | 10/27 - 10/30 | 45 | 42 | Teachout +3 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 10/23 - 10/24 | 44 | 41 | Teachout +3 |
| Click here for all New York 19th District Polls | ||||
| Projection Calculations | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Raw Value | Weight | Net Value |
| Pundit ratings | 0.0 | 50% | 0.0 |
| Head-to-head polls | 3.0 | 50% | 1.5 |
| Composite Generic | Difference | Offset | Adjustment |
| November 8, 2016 - details | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Projection History | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Projection | Old Rating | New Rating |
| September 21, 2016 | Teachout +0.3 | Weak GOP Hold | Weak DEM Gain |
| September 08, 2016 | Faso +0.3 | Weak DEM Gain | Weak GOP Hold |
| June 30, 2016 | Teachout +0.1 | Weak GOP Hold | Weak DEM Gain |
| June 05, 2016 | Republican +0.3 | -- | Weak GOP Hold |
| Preliminary | -- | -- | Weak GOP Hold |
| Important Dates | |
|---|---|
| Event | Date |
| GOP Presidential Primary | April 19, 2016 |
| DEM Presidential Primary | April 19, 2016 |
| Primary Election | June 28, 2016 |
| Election Day | November 8, 2016 |
| New York Polling Hours | ||
|---|---|---|
| Time Zone | Polls Open | Polls Close |
| Eastern | 6:00am Local | 9:00pm Local |