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 Poll Vault

 


Previous Polls on Election Projection

Week of May 5, 2007

Poll Question:
At this point in the primary process, who do you think would be the best-performing GOP nominee against Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
Selection 
Votes
John McCain 52%434
Mitt Romney 13%111
Mike Huckabee 7%60
Rudy Giuliani 9%77
Ron Paul 6%53
Fred Thompson 5%41
Someone else 7%58
834 votes total

Week of April 21, 2007

Poll Question:
There are currently 49 GOP senators.  How many GOP senators will there be after the elections in November?
Selection 
Votes
50 or more 7%66
49 2%22
47 - 48 25%226
45 - 46 37%332
41 - 44 23%204
40 or less 5%46
896 votes total

Week of April 14, 2007

Poll Question:
What will turnout be in this year's general elections on November 4th?
Selection 
Votes
Turnout will be less than in 2000 3%19
Turnout will be more than in 2000 but less than in 2004 14%81
Turnout will be more than in 2004 83%487
587 votes total

Week of March 31, 2007

Poll Question:
How would John McCain fare in the general election against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama?
Selection 
Votes
He would beat either of them 41%425
He would beat Clinton but lose to Obama 24%252
He would beat Obama but lose to Clinton 8%85
He would lose to either of them 26%274
1,036 votes total

Week of March 24, 2007

Poll Question:
Have Rev. Wright's comments effected Obama's chances to win the White House?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, it will be hard for him to overcome the negative impact. 32%205
Yes, but he can overcome the negative impact. 44%283
There will be little or no impact to the outcome from Rev. Wright's comments. 22%142
Rev. Wright's comments will improve Obama's chances. 3%18
648 votes total

Week of March 17, 2007

Poll Question:
How many number one seeds in this year's NCAA basketball tournament will make the Final Four?
Selection 
Votes
Four 4%11
Three 23%72
Two 54%169
One 15%46
None 5%15
313 votes total

Week of March 10, 2007

Poll Question:
In your view, what is John McCain's political ideology?
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 2%12
Very liberal 1%10
Somewhat liberal 3%23
Moderate with liberal tilt 7%51
Moderate 7%52
Moderate with conservative tilt 24%172
Somewhat conservative 35%245
Very conservative 16%110
Extremely conservative 5%33
708 votes total

Week of March 3, 2007

Poll Question:
In your view, what is Hillary Clinton's political ideology?
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 15%115
Very liberal 24%188
Somewhat liberal 22%177
Moderate with liberal tilt 24%188
Moderate 7%53
Moderate with conservative tilt 4%34
Somewhat conservative 3%20
Very conservative 1%6
Extremely conservative 1%11
792 votes total

Week of February 25, 2007

Poll Question:
Who will Ralph Nader's candidacy hurt most in the presidential race?
Selection 
Votes
The Democratic nominee 42%357
The Republican nominee 3%22
Neither 55%470
849 votes total

Week of February 18, 2007

Poll Question:
In your view, what is Barack Obama's political ideology??
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 30%330
Very liberal 26%289
Somewhat liberal 22%251
Moderate with liberal tilt 14%160
Moderate 4%42
Moderate with conservative tilt 1%15
Somewhat conservative 1%10
Very conservative 0%2
Extremely conservative 2%17
1,116 votes total

Week of February 11, 2007

Poll Question:
What will President Bush's approval rating be on Election Day?
Selection 
Votes
below 30% 32%291
30-35% 37%335
35-40% 17%157
40-45% 10%87
45-50% 2%16
over 50% 3%23
909 votes total

Week of February 4, 2007

Poll Question:
Do you wish the New England Patriots had won the Super Bowl and completed their perfect season?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 26%277
No 59%636
I don't care 15%157
1,070 votes total

Week of January 28, 2007

Poll Question:
Culturally speaking, is America ready to elect a woman or an African-American as president?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, America is ready to elect either. 70%828
America is not ready to elect a woman but is ready to elect an African-American. 8%90
America is not ready to elect an African-American but is ready to elect a woman. 8%99
No, America is not ready to elect either. 14%161
1,178 votes total

Week of January 21, 2007

Poll Question:
Will the Democratic and Republican parties pick their nominee before the conventions?
Selection 
Votes
Both parties will settle on a nominee before the conventions 45%329
Neither party will choose a nominee before the conventions 9%70
The Republicans will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Democrats will not 8%57
The Democrats will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Republicans will not 38%281
737 votes total

Week of January 14, 2007

Poll Question:
Who will win the Republican presidential nomination?
Selection 
Votes
Mitt Romney 16%177
Rudy Giuliani 7%78
Mike Huckabee 12%140
John McCain 32%356
Fred Thompson 33%370
1,121 votes total

Week of January 7, 2007

Poll Question:
Who will win the Democratic presidential nomination?
Selection 
Votes
Hillary Clinton 34%355
Barack Obama 60%621
John Edwards 6%58
1,034 votes total

Week of December 31, 2007

Poll Question:
Will the next President of the United States be a Democrat or Republican?
Selection 
Votes
Democrat - I'm rooting for a Democrat 38%465
Republican - I'm rooting for a Republican 37%448
Democrat - I'm rooting for a Republican 12%146
Republican - I'm rooting for a Democrat 4%44
Democrat - I'm rooting for neither 6%73
Republican - I'm rooting for neither 2%25
Neither the Democrat nor Republican nominee will win the election 1%12
1,213 votes total

Week of December 24, 2007

Poll Question:
Was Jesus born of a virgin?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, the Holy Spirit caused Mary to conceived 51%293
No, it is a myth 49%281
574 votes total

Week of December 17, 2007

Poll Question:
Ron Paul has raised over $17 million so far this quarter.
How will Paul's huge cash reserves impact the GOP primary races?
Selection 
Votes
He will win the nomination 53%450
He will do well, but will be more of a spoiler for someone else 20%167
He's going nowhere - all those millions are just wasted money 28%237
854 votes total

Week of December 10, 2007

Poll Question:
Will the New England Patriots finish the 2007 season undefeated?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, and I'll be glad to see it 36%133
Yes, but I don't want them to 29%108
No, and I don't want them to 30%110
No, but I hope they do 4%16
367 votes total

Week of December 3, 2007

Poll Question:
Should Americans avoid using the term "Christmas" during the holiday season except in their own private circles?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, some people are offended by it and we should be sensitive to that. 23%103
No, it is fine to use - some folks are just too easily offended. 77%351
454 votes total

Week of November 12, 2007

Poll Question:
Who will win the GOP nomination for president?
Selection 
Votes
Fred Thompson 8%64
John McCain 6%47
Mike Huckabee 16%134
Mitt Romney 27%223
Ron Paul 11%89
Rudy Giuliani 31%258
Someone else 2%16
831 votes total

Week of November 5, 2007

Poll Question:
Will the United States carry out a military strike against Iran before the 2008 elections?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, to influence the elections 29%127
Yes, to combat the threat Iran represents 19%82
No 52%228
437 votes total

Week of October 29, 2007

Poll Question:
Where will Mike Huckabee finish in the Iowa Caucuses?
Selection 
Votes
First or second 23%100
Second or third 38%163
Third or fourth 30%129
Fourth or fifth 7%29
Worse than fifth 2%10
431 votes total

Week of October 22, 2007

Poll Question:
Does Bobby Jindal's victory in the Louisiana governor's race signal a change of fortunes for the GOP in 2008?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, the worst is over - the GOP will fare just fine next year 24%111
No, this is just an exception - the GOP is still in deep trouble 76%357
468 votes total

Week of October 15, 2007

Poll Question:
He's not running in 2008. Do you think Al Gore will ever run for president?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 25%54
No 75%161
215 votes total

Poll Question:
Now that Al Gore has won the Nobel Peace Prize, do you think he will run for president in 2008?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, he will run and he will be elected president 9%25
Yes, he will run but he won't win the nomination 4%12
Yes, he will get the nomination but he will lose the general election 1%3
No, he won't run 86%244
173 votes total

Week of October 8, 2007

Poll Question:
Did you subscribe to Election Projection Premium Content in 2006?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, and I plan to subscribe again in 2008 37%64
Yes, but I probably won't subscribe again in 2008 4%7
No, but I'm looking forward to subscribing in 2008 12%21
No, and I don't think I will in 2008 47%81
173 votes total

Week of October 1, 2007

Poll Question:
Should Iraq be split into three territories to help promote stability in the region?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, one Iraq will always produce civil strife and violence. 46%121
No, in the long run, Iraqis want their country to be whole. They will achieve stability as one nation eventually. 18%47
It doesn't matter. The violence and fighting will continue without end regardless of what the map looks like. 26%69
It doens't matter. Eventually peace will come to Iraq - one nation or three. 10%25
262 votes total

Week of September 24, 2007

Poll Question:
Which of the following is closest to your views on Affirmative Action?
Selection 
Votes
It should never have been enacted 24%86
It was useful for a time, but should be phased out now 34%119
Someday it should be phased out, but not any time soon 37%131
It should be our national policy forever 5%17
353 votes total

Week of September 17, 2007

Poll Question:
Assuming Hillary wins the Democratic nomination, which of the GOP contenders has the best chance against her in the general election?
Selection 
Votes
Rudy Giuliani 49%234
Mitt Romney 6%27
John McCain 10%46
Fred Thompson 20%96
Someone else 16%79
482 votes total

Week of September 10, 2007

Poll Question:
This week marks the sixth anniversary of the 9/11/2001 terrorist attacks on America.  How long will it be before they attack us again?
Selection 
Votes
Within 6 months 11%27
6 months to 2 years 27%68
2 to 5 years 32%80
More than 5 years 17%43
We won't be attacked again. 13%34
252 votes total

Week of August 13, 2007

Poll Question:
Karl Rove is leaving the Bush administration at the end of the month. Will you be glad to see him go?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 60%393
No 22%144
I don't care 18%117
654 votes total

Week of July 2, 2007

Poll Question:
How would you complete the following phrase? "All things considered, the United States is..."
Selection 
Votes
... the greatest country on earth 53%435
... well above average 21%172
... above average 12%97
... about average 5%40
... below average 6%46
... well below average 2%16
... the worst country ever 1%9
815 votes total

Week of June 25, 2007

Poll Question:
If the 2004 elections were held again, who would you vote for now?
Selection 
Votes
I voted for Bush and I'd do it again. 37%256
I voted for Bush, but I'd vote for Kerry now.  4%31
I voted for Bush, but I'd vote for a third party or sit out the election now. 8%59
I voted for Kerry and I'd do it again. 44%309
I voted for Kerry, but I'd vote for Bush now. 1%5
I voted for Kerry, but I'd vote for a third party or sit out the election now. 1%7
I voted third party or sat out the election, but I'd vote for Bush now. 0%1
I voted third party or sat out the election, but I'd vote for Kerry now. 2%12
I voted third party or sat out the election and I'd do it again. 3%20
700 votes total

Week of June 11, 2007

Poll Question:
What ideological label most closely describes you?
Selection 
Votes
Politically Conservative Christian 32%295
Politically Conservative Non-Christian 5%50
Politically Libertarian Christian 7%63
Politically Libertarian Non-Christian 5%44
Politically Moderate Christian 9%81
Politically Moderate Non-Christian 8%76
Politically Liberal Christian 14%126
Politically Liberal Non-Christian 18%169
None of the above 2%19
923 votes total

Week of June 4, 2007

Poll Question:
Who won the June 3rd Democratic presidential debate?
Selection 
Votes
Joe Biden 13%33
Hillary Clinton 32%83
Chris Dodd 0%0
John Edwards 19%51
Mike Gravel 5%12
Dennis Kucinich 4%10
Barak Obama 21%56
Bill Richardson 6%17
262 votes total

Week of May 21, 2007

Poll Question:
Do you consider illegal immigrants currently residing in the US to be criminals?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 59%390
No 41%275
665 votes total

Week of May 14, 2007

Poll Question:
What do you think is the overall bias of the Fox News Network?
Selection 
Votes
Very liberally biased 2%7
Slightly liberally biased 3%12
Not biased 17%78
Slightly conservatively biased 24%110
Very conservatively biased 55%258
465 votes total

Week of May 7, 2007

Poll Question:
If the mainstream media includes ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, CNN
The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The LA Times, in your view, is it...
Selection 
Votes
...very liberally biased? 37%179
...somewhat liberally biased? 13%61
...mostly balanced (no bias)? 24%117
...somewhat conservatively biased? 19%89
...very conservatively biased? 7%33
479 votes total

Week of April 30, 2007

Poll Question:
Would you favor a law that makes it a crime to publicly state that
homosexual activity is morally wrong?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 20%71
No 80%289
360 votes total

Week of April 23, 2007

Poll Question:
Which of the following most closely reflects your thoughts on gun control laws?
Selection 
Votes
They are about right 23%112
They should be made more restrictive 45%220
They are already too restrictive 32%158
490 votes total

Week of April 16, 2007

Poll Question:
Fred Thompson is mulling a run for president.  If he runs, how do you think he'll do?
Selection 
Votes
He will win the GOP nomination, but not the presidency 13%49
He will win the GOP nomination and be the next President of the U.S. 45%177
He will not win the GOP nomination 42%165
391 votes total

Week of April 9, 2007

Poll Question:
Would you support an immigration bill that allowed illegal aliens to become American citizens?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 62%160
No 38%99
259 votes total

Week of April 2, 2007

Poll Question:
Concerning the origin of human life, which of the following is closest to your belief?
Selection 
Votes
God created humans in our current form 24%120
God created humans through an evolutionary process 37%188
Humans evolved without the aid of a "higher power" 39%199
507 votes total

Week of March 19, 2007

Poll Question:
Should the US Congress end funding of the Iraq War before the end of 2008?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 56%272
No 44%218
490 votes total

Week of March 12, 2007

Poll Question:
Who will win the 2008 GOP presidential nomination?
Selection 
Votes
Sam Brownback 4%21
Jim Gilmore 0%1
Newt Gingrich 7%33
Rudy Giuliani 37%178
Chuck Hagel 3%16
Mike Huckabee 4%20
Duncan Hunter 2%10
John McCain 16%75
George Pataki 0%2
Mitt Romney 14%69
Tom Tancredo 0%1
Someone else 12%57
483 votes total

Week of February 19, 2007

Poll Question:
Will addtional troops improve the situation in Iraq?
Selection 
Votes
No, we need to send even more 8%51
No, we could send ten times more, and it still wouldn't help 56%346
Yes, but only slightly 18%109
Yes, now we can get the job done 16%100
The situation would have improved without more troops 2%11
617 votes total

Week of February 12, 2007

Poll Question:
Global warming...
Selection 
Votes
Is caused by human activity and is a critical
threat to the earth's future
 46%192
Is caused by human activity and is a possible
threat to the earth's future
 18%73
Is caused by human activity but is no real
threat to the earth's future
 2%10
Is the result of natural cyclical temperature variations
with little or no human impact
 29%119
Is just a bunch of hype that doesn't even exist 5%22
416 votes total

Week of February 5, 2007

Poll Question:
Which party will hold the majorities in Congress after the 2008 elections?
Selection 
Votes
Republicans in the House, Democrats in the Senate 3%16
Republicans in the Senate, Democrats in the House 16%81
Democrats in both the House and Senate 67%343
Republicans in both the House and Senate 11%58
I can't decide 3%16
514 votes total

Week of January 29, 2007

Poll Question:
Regardless of your preference, do you think a Democrat or a Republican
will win the White House in 2008?
Selection 
Votes
Democrat 60%332
Republican 34%186
I can't decide 6%33
551 votes total

Week of January 22, 2007

Poll Question:
Concerning Hillary, what's your prediction?
Selection 
Votes
She won't win the Democratic nomination 39%172
She will win the nomination, but not the presidency 31%137
She will be the next President of the USA 31%136
445 votes total

Week of September 4, 2006

More GOP Senate Races
Who do you predict will win the
Tennessee Senate race?
Selection Votes
Bob Corker (R) 48%713
Harold Ford (D) 52%771
1484 votes
Who do you predict will win the
Virginia Senate race?
Selection