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Alabama
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
Alabama is the 7th most conservative state, voting
23.2% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alabama is trending REPUBLICAN in presidential
elections.
GOP Trend Ranking
Alabama ranks 8th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid GOP, 9 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Jeff Sessions is seeking a third term in 2008. He currently faces no
primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jeff Sessions - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Vivian Davis Figures - Alabama State Senator
Pete Johnson - Former Jefferson County Judge
Johnny Swanson
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jo Bonner (R)-inc vs. Tommy Fuller (D)
District 2: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Mike Rogers (R)-inc vs. Joshua Segall (D)
District 4: Robert Aderholt (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Spencer Bachus (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Artur Davis (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
April 4, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
July 15, 2008 - Primary runoff
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
12 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
41 GOP, 63 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bob Riley (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: Jim Folsom, Jr. (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Richard Shelby (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jeff Sessions (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: Jo Bonner (R) - 3rd term
House District 2: Terry Everett (R) - 8th term (retiring)
House District 3: Mike Rogers (R) - 3rd term
House District 4: Robert Aderholt (R) - 6th term
House District 5: Robert "Bud" Cramer (D) - 9th term
House District 6: Spencer Bachus (R) - 8th term
House District 7: Arthur Davis (D) - 3rd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
|
| House |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
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BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Alaska
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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