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Connecticut
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Connecticut is the 6th least conservative state, voting
12.8% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Connecticut is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Connecticut ranks 38th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM, 7 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 4
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Christopher Shays is seeking an 11th term in 2008. He currently faces no
primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Christopher Shays - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Jim Himes - Activist
Lee Whitnum
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
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| Head-to-head polls |
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| District partisanship |
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Larson (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: Joe Courtney (D)-inc vs. Sean Sullivan (R) - possibly competitive
District 3: Rosa DeLauro (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Chris Murphy (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
May 3, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 12, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 4 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
12 GOP, 24 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
44 GOP, 107 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jodi Rell (R) - 1st full term, up for election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Michael Fedele (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Christopher Dodd (D) - 5th term, not running in 2010 (running for Pres)
Junior Senator: Joseph Lieberman (I) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: John Larson (D) - 5th term
House District 2: Joe Courtney (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Rosa DeLauro (D) - 9th term
House District 4: Christopher Shays (R) - 10th term
House District 5: Christopher Murphy (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Solid DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
Strong IND |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
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| House |
3 GOP - 3 DEM |
3 GOP - 2 DEM |
3 GOP - 2 DEM |
1 GOP - 4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Weak GOP |
Mod GOP |
Mod GOP |
Weak DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak GOP |
Weak GOP |
| CD-5 |
Mod DEM |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Delaware
Previous Stop: Colorado
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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