Political Weblog | 2008 Projections | Election Calendar | Primary Table | Edicts for 2008
Projection Formulas | Previous Results | Poll Vault | The Blogging Caesar Bio

.
 Election 2008 Projections

 


Georgia

Latest News and Updates


Coming soon...

Conservative Ranking


Georgia is the 17th most conservative state, voting 14.1% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Georgia is trending REPUBLICAN.

GOP Trend Ranking


Georgia ranks 14th among the 50 states.

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates

  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)

    Party nominee -

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

      Index Raw value Weight Factor
        Head-to-head polls (state) . . .
        Incumbent approval (state) . . .
        State partisanship . . .
        Other issues . . .

    Preliminary projection:  Solid GOP, 15 Electoral Votes

    Senate Race


    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Saxby Chambliss is seeking a second term in 2008.  He currently faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Saxby Chambliss - Incumbent
  • Chip Rogers - Georgia State Senator

    DEM Candidates

  • Josh Lanier - Former Congressional Aide, Vietnam Veteran
  • Dale Cardwell
  • Rand Knight - Environmental Engineer
  • Vernon Jones - Dekalb County CEO

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

      Index Raw value Weight Factor
        Head-to head polls . . .
        Incumbent approval . . .
        State partisanship . . .
        Other issues . . .

    Preliminary projection:  Strong GOP Hold

    Governor's Race


    No race in 2008

    Competitive House Races


    District 8


    Incumbent:  Democrat incumbent Jim Marshall is running for a 4th term in 2008.  He faces only minor primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Richard Goddard - Major General United States Air Force, Retired

    DEM Candidates

  • Jim Marshall - Incumbent

    Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries

    Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries

    Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Pundit predictions . . .
        Head-to-head polls . . .
        District partisanship . . .

    Preliminary projection:  Weak DEM Hold

    Other House Races


    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Jack Kingston (R)-inc vs. Bill Gillespie (D)
  • District 2:  Sanford Bishop (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 3:  Lynn Westmoreland (R)-inc vs. Shyam Reddy? (D)
  • District 4:  Hank Johnson? (D)  (currently unopposed)
  • District 5:  John Lewis (D)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 6:  Thomas Price? (R)-inc  (currently unopposed)
  • District 7:  John Linder (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 9:  Nathan Deal (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 10:  Paul Broun, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. Terry Holley? (D)
  • District 11:  Phil Gingrey (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
  • District 12:  John Barrow (D) vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
  • District 13:  David Scott? (D) vs. Deborah Huneycutt (R)

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • May 2, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • July 15, 2008 - Primary elections
  • August 5, 2008 - Primary runoff
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day

    Current Partisan Breakdown


      National Delegation
        Senators 2 GOP
        Representatives 7 GOP, 6 DEM
      State Government
        Governor GOP
        Lt. Governor GOP
        State Senate - GOP control 33 GOP, 23 DEM
        State House - GOP control 101 GOP, 79 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Sonny Perdue (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  Casey Cagle (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Saxby Chambliss (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Johnny Isakson (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Jack Kingston (R) - 8th term
  • House District 2:  Sanford Bishop (D) - 8th term
  • House District 3:  Lynn Westmoreland (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 4:  Hank Johnson (D) - 1st term
  • House District 5:  John Lewis (D) - 11th term
  • House District 6:  Thomas Price (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 7:  John Linder (R) - 8th term
  • House District 8:  Jim Marshall (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 9:  Nathan Deal (R) - 8th term
  • House District 10:  Paul Broun, Jr. (R) - 1st term
  • House District 11:  Phil Gingrey (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 12:  John Barrow (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 13:  David Scott (D) - 3rd term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Strong GOP -- Solid GOP --

    Senate
    Class 2 -- Mod GOP -- --
    Class 3 Solid DEM -- Solid GOP --

    Governor -- Mod GOP -- Solid GOP

    House 8 GOP - 3 DEM 8 GOP - 5 DEM 7 GOP - 6 DEM 7 GOP - 6 DEM
    CD-1 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-2 Mod DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-3 Solid GOP Weak DEM Solid DEM Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-5 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 Mod GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-8 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Weak DEM
    CD-9 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-10 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-11 Solid GOP Weak GOP Mod GOP Solid GOP
    CD-12 NA Strong GOP Weak DEM Weak DEM
    CD-13 NA Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  • Tour The 50 States


    Next Stop:  Hawaii
    Previous Stop:  Florida

    Special Thanks to...


    Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
    Congressional Quarterly
    The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
    The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
    DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
    RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre

    Site Traffic



  • 2008 Projections


    Search This Site
    by Google

    e-mail Scott at:
    thebloggingcaesar
    @electionprojection.com


    2006 Projection Results


    2004 Projection Results



    2008 Projections
    State-by-State

  • Alabama
  • Alaska
  • Arizona
  • Arkansas
  • California
  • Colorado
  • Connecticut
  • Delaware
  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Hawaii
  • Idaho
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Kansas
  • Kentucky
  • Louisiana
  • Maine
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts
  • Michigan
  • Minnesota
  • Mississippi
  • Missouri
  • Montana
  • Nebraska
  • Nevada
  • New Hampshire
  • New Jersey
  • New Mexico
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • North Dakota
  • Ohio
  • Oklahoma
  • Oregon
  • Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island
  • South Carolina
  • South Dakota
  • Tennessee
  • Texas
  • Utah
  • Vermont
  • Virginia
  • Washington
  • West Virginia
  • Wisconsin
  • Wyoming