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Iowa
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Iowa is the 31st most conservative state, voting
1.8% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Iowa's partisan trend is STEADY.
GOP Trend Ranking
Iowa ranks 29th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Mod DEM, 7 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Tom Harkin is running for a 6th term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Steven Rathje
Bob McDowell
DEM Candidates
Tom Harkin - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bruce Braley (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: David Loebsack (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 3: Leonard Boswell? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: Tom Latham (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: Steve King (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
Election Timeline
January 3, 2008 - Presidential caucus
March 14, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
20 GOP, 30 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
47 GOP, 53 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Chet Culver (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Patty Judge (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Tom Harkin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Chuck Grassley (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Bruce Braley (D) - 1st term
House District 2: David Loebsack (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Leonard Boswell (D) - 6th term
House District 4: Tom Latham (R) - 7th term
House District 5: Steve King (R) - 3rd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod DEM |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Strong DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
|
| House |
4 GOP - 1 DEM |
4 GOP - 1 DEM |
4 GOP - 1 DEM |
2 GOP - 3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
Strong GOP |
Strong DEM |
| CD-2 |
Strong GOP |
Mod GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Mod DEM |
Strong DEM |
Mod DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Kansas
Previous Stop: Indiana
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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