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Idaho
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
Idaho is the 3rd most conservative state, voting
35.7% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Idaho is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Idaho ranks 11th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid GOP, 4 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Larry Craig is resigning during his second term and will not seek re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Jim Risch - Idaho Lieutenant Governor
Fred Adams
Brian Hefner
Kent Marmon
Richard Phenneger
Rex Rammell
Scott Syme
DEM Candidates
Larry LaRocco - Former United States Representative from Idaho
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bill Sali? (R) vs. Larry Grant? (D)
District 2: Mike Simpson (R)-inc vs. Jim Hansen (D)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Democratic presidential primary
March 21, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 27, 2008 - Republican presidential primary
May 27, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
2 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
28 GOP, 7 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
51 GOP, 19 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: C.L. "Butch" Otter (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Jim Risch (R) - 2nd term, running for Senate in 2008
Senior Senator: Larry Craig (R) - 2nd term, resigning in 2008
Junior Senator: Michael Crapo (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Bill Sali (R) - 1st term
House District 2: Michael Simpson (R) - 5th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Mod GOP |
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| House |
2 GOP |
2 GOP |
2 GOP |
2 GOP |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Illinois
Previous Stop: Hawaii
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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