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Illinois
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Illinois is the 7th least conservative state, voting
12.8% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Illinois is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Illinois ranks 37th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM, 21 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Richard Durbin is running for a 3rd term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Steven Sauerberg - Physician
DEM Candidates
Richard Durbin - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 11
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Jerry Weller is retiring at the end of his 7th
term. He is not seeking re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Tim Baldermann - Mayor of New Lenox
DEM Candidates
Debbie Halvorson - Illinois State Senator
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Gain
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bobby Rush (D)-inc vs. Antoine Members (R)
District 2: Jesse Jackson Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Daniel Lipinski (D)-inc vs. Michael Hawkins (R)
District 4: Luis Gutierrez (D)-inc vs. Ann Melichar? (R)
District 5: Rahm Emanuel (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Peter Roskam (R)-inc vs. Jill Morgenthaler (D)
District 7: Danny Davis (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Melissa Bean (D)-inc vs. Steve Greenberg (R) - possibly competitive
District 9: Jan Schakowsky (D)-inc vs. Michael Younan (R)
District 10: Mark Steven Kirk (R)-inc vs. Daniel Seals (D) - possibly competitive
District 12: Jerry Costello (D)-inc vs. Tim Richardson, Jr. (R)
District 13: Judy Biggert (R)-inc vs. Scott Harper (D)
District 14: Bill Foster (D)-inc vs. Jim Oberweis (R) - possibly competitive
District 15: Tim Johnson (R)-inc vs. Tim Cox (D)
District 16: Donald Manzullo (R)-inc vs. Robert Abboud (D)
District 17: Philip Hare (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 18: OPEN: Aaron Schock (R) vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 19: John Shimkus (R)-inc vs. Daniel Davis (D)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
February 5, 2008 - Primary elections
March 8, 2008 - Special election, CD 14
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
8 GOP, 11 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
22 GOP, 37 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
51 GOP, 67 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Rod Blagojevich (D) - 2nd term, up for election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Pat Quinn (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Richard Durbin (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Barack Obama (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Bobby Rush (D) - 8th term
House District 2: Jesse Jackson Jr. (D) - 7th term
House District 3: Daniel Lipinski (D) - 2nd term
House District 4: Luis Gutierrez (D) - 8th term
House District 5: Rahm Emanuel (D) - 3rd term
House District 6: Peter Roskam (R) - 1st term
House District 7: Danny Davis (D) - 6th term
House District 8: Melissa Bean (D) - 2nd term
House District 9: Jan Schakowsky (D) - 5th term
House District 10: Mark Steven Kirk (R) - 4th term
House District 11: Jerry Weller (R) - 7th term (retiring)
House District 12: Jerry Costello (D) - 11th term
House District 13: Judy Biggert (R) - 5th term
House District 14: Bill Foster (D) - 1st term (partial)
House District 15: Tim Johnson (R) - 4th term
House District 16: Donald Manzullo (R) - 8th term
House District 17: Phil Hare (D) - 1st term
House District 18: Ray Lahood (R) - 7th term (retiring)
House District 19: John Shimkus (R) - 6th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Strong DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
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| House |
9 GOP - 11 DEM |
10 GOP - 9 DEM |
9 GOP - 10 DEM |
9 GOP - 10 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
Weak GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
Solid DEM |
Strong GOP |
Weak DEM |
Mod DEM |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-10 |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-11 |
Mod GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
| CD-12 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-13 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-14 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-15 |
Mod GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-16 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-17 |
Strong DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Strong DEM |
| CD-18 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-19 |
Solid DEM |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-20 |
Solid GOP |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Indiana
Previous Stop: Idaho
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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