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Indiana
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Indiana is the 12th most conservative state, voting
18.2% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Indiana is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Indiana ranks 19th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Strong GOP, 11 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Mitch Daniels, Jr. is running for re-election for the first time in 2008. He faces no serious primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Mitch Daniels, Jr. - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Jill Long Thompson - Former United States Representative from Indiana
Jim Schellinger
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Peter Visclosky (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: Joseph Donnelly (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 3: Mark Souder? (R)-inc vs. Mike Montagano (D)
District 4: Stephen Buyer (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: Dan Burton? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 6: Mike Pence (R)-inc vs. Barry Welsh (D)
District 7: Andre Carson (D)-inc vs. Jon Elrod (R)
District 8: Brad Ellsworth (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Baron Hill? (D)-inc vs. Mike Sodrel? (R) - possibly competitive
Election Timeline
February 22, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
March 8, 2008 - Special election, CD 7
May 6, 2008 - Presidential primary
May 6, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 4 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
33 GOP, 17 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
49 GOP, 51 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mitch Daniels, Jr. (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: Becky Skillman (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Richard Lugar (R) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Evan Bayh (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Peter Visclosky (D) - 12th term
House District 2: Joe Donnelly (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Mark Souder (R) - 7th term
House District 4: Stephen Buyer (R) - 8th term
House District 5: Dan Burton (R) - 13th term
House District 6: Mike Pence (R) - 4th term
House District 7: Andre Carson (D) - 1st term (partial)
House District 8: Brad Ellsworth (D) - 1st term
House District 9: Baron Hill (R) - 5th term (non-consecutive)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
|
| Governor |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
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| House |
6 GOP - 4 DEM |
6 GOP - 3 DEM |
7 GOP - 2 DEM |
4 GOP - 5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Weak GOP |
Mod GOP |
Mod DEM |
| CD-3 |
Weak DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid GOP |
Mod DEM |
Strong DEM |
Mod DEM |
| CD-8 |
Mod GOP |
Mod GOP |
Mod GOP |
Solid DEM |
| CD-9 |
Strong DEM |
Mod DEM |
Weak GOP |
Weak DEM |
| CD-10 |
Solid DEM |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Iowa
Previous Stop: Illinois
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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