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Louisiana
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Louisiana is the 18th most conservative state, voting
12.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Louisiana is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Louisiana ranks 6th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Mod GOP, 9 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent DEM incumbent Mary Landrieu is running for a 3rd term in 2008.
GOP Candidates
John Kennedy - Louisiana State Treasurer
DEM Candidates
Mary Landrieu - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Steve Scalise (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: William Jefferson? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Charlie Melancon (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 5: Rodney Alexander (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Don Carazyoux (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 7: Charles Boustany Jr. (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 9, 2008 - Presidential primary
July 11, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 6, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
December 4, 2008 - Runoff elections
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
16 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
49 GOP, 53 DEM, 1 IND, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bobby Jindal (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2011
Lt. Governor: Mitch Landrieu (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2011
Senior Senator: Mary Landrieu (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: David Vitter (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Steve Scalise (R) - 1st term (partial)
House District 2: William Jefferson (D) - 9th term
House District 3: Charlie Melancon (D) - 2nd term
House District 4: Jim McCrery (R) - 11th term (retiring)
House District 5: Rodney Alexander (R) - 3rd term
House District 6: Don Cazayoux (D) - 1st term (partial)
House District 7: Charles Boustany (R) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
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Governor
(2003-2007) |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Solid GOP |
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| House |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
5 GOP - 2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Maine
Previous Stop: Kentucky
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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