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Massachusetts
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Massachusetts is the LEAST conservative state, voting
27.6% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Massachusetts is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Massachusetts ranks 49th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Strong DEM, 12 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent John Kerry is running for a 4th term in 2008. He faces no serious primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jeff Beatty - Former U.S. Army Delta Force Officer
James Ogonowski - Lieutenant, United States Air Force
DEM Candidates
John Kerry - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Olver? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: Richard Neal (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: James McGovern (D)-inc vs. Todd Williams (R)
District 4: Barney Frank (D)-inc vs. Charles Morse (R)
District 5: Niki Tsongas (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: John Tierney (D)-inc vs. Richard Barton (R)
District 7: Edward Markey (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Michael Capuano (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 9: Stephen Lynch (D)-inc vs. Jack Robinson (R)
District 10: William Delahunt (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
June 3, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 16, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
10 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
5 GOP, 35 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
19 GOP, 138 DEM, 3 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Deval Patrick (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Timothy Murray (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Edward Kennedy (D) - 10th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: John Kerry (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: John Olver (D) - 9th term
House District 2: Richard Neal (D) - 10th term
House District 3: James McGovern (D) - 6th term
House District 4: Barney Frank (D) - 14th term
House District 5: Niki Tsongas (D) - 1st term
House District 6: John Tierney (D) - 6th term
House District 7: Edward Markey (D) - 16th term (might retire)
House District 8: Michael Capuano (D) - 5th term
House District 9: Steven Lynch (D) - 4th term
House District 10: William Delahunt (D) - 6th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Solid DEM |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Solid DEM |
|
| House |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
10 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-10 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Michigan
Previous Stop: Maryland
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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