|
|
Michigan
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Michigan is the 16th least conservative state, voting
5.9% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Michigan is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Michigan ranks 33rd among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| Incumbent approval (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| State partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
| Other issues |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Mod DEM, 17 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Carl Levin seeks a 6th term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jacob Hoogendyk - Michigan State Representative
Bart Baron - Former Congressional Nominee
DEM Candidates
Carl Levin - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| Incumbent approval |
. |
. |
. |
| State partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
| Other issues |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Solid DEM Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 7
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Tim Walberg is running for re-election for the first time in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Tim Walberg - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Sharon Marie Renier - Former Congressional Nominee
Mark Schauer - Michigan State Senator
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
. |
. |
. |
| Head-to-head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| District partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Bart Stupak (D)-inc vs. Tom Casperson (R)
District 2: Peter Hoekstra (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Vernon Ehlers (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Dale Kildee? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Fred Upton (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Michael Rogers (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 9: Joseph Knollenberg (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 10: Candice Miller (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 11: Thad McCotter (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 12: Sandy Levin (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 13: Carolyn Kilpatrick (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 14: John Conyers Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 15: John Dingell (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
January 15, 2008 - Presidential primary
May 13, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 5, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
9 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 17 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
52 GOP, 58 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jennifer Granholm (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: John Cherry (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Carl Levin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Debbie Stabenow (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Bart Stupak (D) - 8th term
House District 2: Peter Hoekstra (R) - 8th term
House District 3: Vernon Ehlers (R) - 8th term
House District 4: Dave Lee Camp (R) - 9th term
House District 5: Dale Kildee (D) - 16th term (might retire)
House District 6: Fred Upton (R) - 11th term
House District 7: Tim Walberg (R) - 1st term
House District 8: Michael Rogers (R) - 4th term
House District 9: Joseph Knollenberg (R) - 8th term
House District 10: Candice Miller (R) - 3rd term
House District 11: Thad McCotter (R) - 3rd term
House District 12: Sandy Levin (D) - 13th term (might retire)
House District 13: Carolyn Kilpatrick (D) - 6th term
House District 14: John Conyers Jr. (D) - 22nd term (might retire)
House District 15: John Dingell (D) - 27th term (might retire)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak DEM |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
|
| House |
7 GOP - 9 DEM |
9 GOP - 6 DEM |
9 GOP - 6 DEM |
9 GOP - 6 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-8 |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-10 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-11 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
| CD-12 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-13 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-14 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-15 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-16 |
Solid DEM |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
|
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Minnesota
Previous Stop: Massachusetts
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
Site Traffic
|
|
|
