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Minnesota
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
Minnesota is the 15th least conservative state, voting
6.0% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Minnesota's partisan trend is STEADY.
GOP Trend Ranking
Minnesota ranks 25th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DFL Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Mod DFL, 10 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: Freshman Republican incumbent Norm Coleman is running for a 2nd term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Norm Coleman - Incumbent
DFL Candidates
Al Franken - Comedian
Darryl Stanton - Businessman
Richard Franson
Jack Nelson-Pallmeyer - Professor
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
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Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 3
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Jim Ramsted is retiring at the end of his 9th term. He is
not seeking re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Erik Paulsen - Minnesota State Representative
Kurt Zellers - Minnesota State Representative
DFL Candidates
Terri Bonoff - Minnesota State Senator
Jim Hovland - Mayor of Edina
Ashwin Madia - Iraqi War Veteran
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
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Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
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| Head-to-head polls |
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| District partisanship |
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Tim Walz (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 2: John Kline (R)-inc vs. Steve Sarvi? (D)
District 4: Betty McCollum (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Keith Ellison (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Michele Bachmann (R)-inc vs. Elwin Tinklenberg? (D)
District 7: Collin Peterson (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: James Oberstar (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
July 15, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DFL |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 5 DFL |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DFL control |
22 GOP, 45 DFL |
| State House - DFL control |
49 GOP, 85 DFL |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Tim Pawlenty (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Carol Molnau (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Norm Coleman (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Amy Klobuchar (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Tim Walz (D) - 1st term
House District 2: John Kline (R) - 3rd term
House District 3: Jim Ramstad (R) - 9th term (retiring)
House District 4: Betty McCollum (D) - 4th term
House District 5: Keith Ellison (D) - 1st term
House District 6: Michele Bachmann (R) - 1st term
House District 7: Collin Peterson (D) - 9th term
House District 8: James Oberstar (D) - 17th term (might retire)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Weak DFL |
-- |
Weak DFL |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak DFL |
-- |
-- |
Solid DFL |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Weak GOP |
-- |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Weak GOP |
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| House |
3 GOP - 5 DFL |
4 GOP - 4 DFL |
4 GOP - 4 DFL |
3 GOP - 5 DFL |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod DFL |
| CD-2 |
Weak GOP |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
| CD-5 |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
| CD-6 |
Weak DFL |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
| CD-8 |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
Solid DFL |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Mississippi
Previous Stop: Michigan
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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