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Missouri
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Missouri is the 25th most conservative state, voting
4.7% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Missouri is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Missouri ranks 17th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM, 11 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Matt Blunt is retiring in 2008 after just one term.
GOP Candidates
Kenny Hulshof - U.S. Representative from Missouri
Sarah Steelman - Missouri State Treasurer
DEM Candidates
Jay Nixon - Missouri Attorney General
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Gain
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Lacy Clay Jr. (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 2: Todd Akin (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Russ Carnahan (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 4: Ike Skelton (D)-inc vs. Stanley Plough, Jr. (R)
District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Samuel Graves, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Kay Barnes? (D)
District 7: Roy Blunt (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 8: Jo Ann Emerson (R)-inc vs. Joe Allen (D)
District 9: OPEN: ??? (R) vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
March 25, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 5, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 4 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
20 GOP, 14 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
92 GOP, 71 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Matt Blunt- 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: Peter Kinder - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Senior Senator: Kit Bond - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Claire McCaskill - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Lacy Clay Jr. (D) - 4th term
House District 2: Todd Akin (R) - 4th term
House District 3: Russ Carnahan (D) - 2nd term
House District 4: Ike Skelton (D) - 16th term (might retire)
House District 5: Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) - 2nd term
House District 6: Samuel Graves, Jr. (R) - 4th term
House District 7: Roy Blunt (R) - 6th term
House District 8: Jo Ann Emerson (R) - 6th term
House District 9: Kenny Hulshof (R) - 6th term (running for Governor)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak DEM |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Weak DEM |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
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| Governor |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Weak GOP |
-- |
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| House |
6 GOP - 3 DEM |
5 GOP - 4 DEM |
5 GOP - 4 DEM |
5 GOP - 4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Mod DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid DEM |
Strong DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-8 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-9 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Montana
Previous Stop: Mississippi
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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