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Montana
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
Montana is the 13th most conservative state, voting
18.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Montana is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Montana ranks 13th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Strong GOP, 3 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: DEM incumbent Max Baucus seeks a 6th term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Michael Lange - Montana State Representative
Kirk Bushman
Shay Garnett
Anton Pearson
Patty Lovaas
Bob Kelleher
DEM Candidates
Max Baucus - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM Hold
Governor's Race
Incumbent: First-term DEM incumbent Brian Schweitzer is running for re-election in 2008. He faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Michael Lange - Montana State Representative
Kirk Bushman
Shay Garnett
Anton Pearson
Patty Lovaas
Bob Kelleher
DEM Candidates
Brian Schweitzer - Incumbent
William Fischer
Don Porgreba
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
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Preliminary projection: Mod DEM Hold
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District AL: Dennis Rehberg (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Repubplican presidential primary
March 20, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 3, 2008 - Democratic presidential primary
June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
24 GOP, 26 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
50 GOP, 49 DEM, 1 other |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Brian Schweitzer (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: John Bohlinger (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Senior Senator: Max Baucus (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Jon Tester (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Dennis Rehberg (R) - 4th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak GOP |
-- |
-- |
Weak DEM |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
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| Governor |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
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| House |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
1 GOP |
| CD-1 |
Mod GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Nebraska
Previous Stop: Missouri
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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