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North Carolina
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
North Carolina is the 21st most conservative state, voting
10.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Carolina's partisan trend is STEADY.
GOP Trend Ranking
North Carolina ranks 30th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Mod GOP, 15 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Elizabeth Dole is seeking a second term in 2008. She currently faces
only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Elizabeth Dole - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Kay Hagan - North Carolina State Senator
Marcus Williams
Howard Staley - Physician
Duskin Lassiter
Jim Neal, Jr.
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Strong GOP Hold
Governor's Race
OPEN SEAT: Democratic incumbent Mike Easley is term-limited in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Fred Smith - North Carolina State Senator
Bob Orr - Former North Carolina Supreme Court Justice
Bill Graham - Attorney
Patrick McCrory - Mayor of Charlotte
DEM Candidates
Beverly Perdue - Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina
Richard Moore - North Carolina State Treasurer
Dennis Nielson - Retired United States Air Force Colonel
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Hold
Competitive House Races
District 8
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Robin Hayes is seeking 6th term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Robin Hayes - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Larry Kissell - 2006 Congressional Nominee
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D)-inc vs. Dean Stphens (R)
District 2: Bob Etheridge (D)-inc vs. Dan Mansell (R)
District 3: Walter Jones, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D) - possibly competitive
District 4: David Price (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Virginia Foxx (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 6: Howard Coble (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 7: Mike McIntyre (D)-inc vs. Will Breazeale (R)
District 9: Sue Myrick (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 10: Patrick McHenry? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 11: Heath Shuler (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 12: Melvin Watt (D)-inc vs. Ty Cobb, Jr. (R)
District 13: Brad Miller? (D)-inc vs. Hugh Webster (R)
Election Timeline
February 29, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 6, 2008 - Presidential primary
May 6, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
6 GOP, 7 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
19 GOP, 31 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
52 GOP, 68 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mike Easley (D) - 2nd term, term limited in 2008
Lt. Governor: Beverly Perdue (D) - 2nd term, running for Governor in 2008
Senior Senator: Elizabeth Dole (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Richard Burr (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D) - 3rd term
House District 2: Bob Etheridge (D) - 6th term
House District 3: Walter Jones, Jr. (R) - 7th term
House District 4: David Price (D) - 10th term
House District 5: Virginia Foxx (R) - 2nd term
House District 6: Howard Coble (R) - 12th term (might retire)
House District 7: Mike McIntyre (D) - 6th term
House District 8: Robin Hayes (R) - 5th term
House District 9: Sue Myrick (R) - 7th term
House District 10: Patrick McHenry (R) - 2nd term
House District 11: Heath Shuler (D) - 1st term
House District 12: Melvin Watt (D) - 8th term
House District 13: Brad Miller (D) - 3rd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
|
| Governor |
Mod DEM |
-- |
Strong DEM |
-- |
|
| House |
7 GOP - 5 DEM |
7 GOP - 6 DEM |
7 GOP - 6 DEM |
6 GOP - 7 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
Strong GOP |
Strong GOP |
Strong GOP |
Weak GOP |
| CD-9 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-10 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-11 |
Strong GOP |
Strong GOP |
Strong GOP |
Mod DEM |
| CD-12 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-13 |
NA |
Strong DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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