Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
New York is the 4th least conservative state, voting 20.8% less Republican in the
2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, New York is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
New York ranks 32nd among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| Incumbent approval (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| State partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
| Other issues |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Solid DEM, 31 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 20
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand seeks a second term in 2008. She faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Sandy Treachwell - Former New York Secretary of State
John Wallace - Former New York State Trooper
Michael Rocque - Army Special Forces
DEM Candidates
Kirsten Gillibrand - Incumbent
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
. |
. |
. |
| Head-to-head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| District partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Hold
District 25
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Jim Walsh is retiring at the end of his 10th term. He is not seeking
re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Bob Oaks - New York State Assemblyman
Ronald Jennings - Former Syracuse Parks Commissioner
David Gay - Punk Rocker
DEM Candidates
Dan Maffei - 2006 Congressional Nominee
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
. |
. |
. |
| Head-to-head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| District partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Gain
District 26
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Thomas Reynolds is retiring at the end of his 5th term. He is not
seeking re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Bill Reilich - New York State Assemblyman
Jordan Levy
Rick Lewis
Micheal Powers - Attorney
DEM Candidates
Jack Davis, Jr. - 2004/2006 Congressional Nominee
Alice Kryzan - Attorney
Jonathan Powers - Iraqi Veteran
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
. |
. |
. |
| Head-to-head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| District partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
District 29
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Randy Kuhl, Jr. is up for a third term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Randy Kuhl, Jr. - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Eric Massa - 2006 Congressional Nominee
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
. |
. |
. |
| Head-to-head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| District partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Tim Bishop (D)-inc vs. Lee Zeldin (R)
District 2: Steve Israel (D)-inc vs. Frank Stalzer (R)
District 3: Peter King (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Carolyn McCarthy (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Gary Ackerman (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Gregory Meeks (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Joseph Crowley (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 8: Jerrold Nadler (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 9: Anthony Weiner (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Edolphus Towns? (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 11: Yvette Clarke (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 12: Nydia Velazquez (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 13: Vito Fossella (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 14: Carolyn Maloney (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 15: Charles Rangel (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 16: Jose Serrano (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 17: Eliot Engel (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 18: Nita Lowey (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 19: John Hall (D)-inc vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
District 21: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. Jim Buhrmaster? (R)
District 22: Maurice Hinchey (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 23: John McHugh (R)-inc vs. Mike Oot (D)
District 24: Michael Arcuri (D)-inc vs. Richard Hanna (R)
District 27: Brian Higgins (D)-inc vs. Daniel Humiston (R)
District 28: Louise Slaughter (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
July 10, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
6 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
vacant |
| State Senate - GOP control |
32 GOP, 30 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
42 GOP, 105 DEM, 2 other, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: David Paterson (D) - 1st term (partial), up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: vacant - next election in 2010
Senior Senator: Charles Schumer (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Hillary Clinton (D) - 2nd term (running for President)
House District 1: Tim Bishop (D) - 3rd term
House District 2: Steve Israel (D) - 4th term
House District 3: Peter King (R) - 8th term
House District 4: Carolyn McCarthy (D) - 6th term
House District 5: Gary Ackerman (D) - 13th term
House District 6: Gregory Meeks (D) - 6th term
House District 7: Joseph Crowley (D) - 5th term
House District 8: Jerrold Nadler (D) - 9th term
House District 9: Anthony Weiner (D) - 5th term
House District 10: Edolphus Towns (D) - 13th term (might retire)
House District 11: Yvette Clark (D) - 1st term
House District 12: Nydia Velazquez (D) - 8th term
House District 13: Vito Fossella (R) - 6th term
House District 14: Carolyn Maloney (D) - 8th term
House District 15: Charles Rangel (D) - 19th term (might retire)
House District 16: Jose Serrano (D) - 10th term
House District 17: Eliot Engel (D) - 10th term
House District 18: Nita Lowey (D) - 10th term (might retire)
House District 19: John Hall (D) - 1st term
House District 20: Kirsten Gillibrand (D) - 1st term
House District 21: Michael McNulty (D) - 10th term (retiring)
House District 22: Maurice Hinchey (D) - 8th term
House District 23: John McHugh (R) - 8th term
House District 24: Michael Arcuri (D) - 1st term
House District 25: James Walsh (R) - 10th term (retiring)
House District 26: Thomas Reynolds (R) - 5th term (retiring)
House District 27: Brian Higgins (D) - 2nd term
House District 28: Louise Slaughter (D) - 11th term (might retire)
House District 29: Randy Kuhl (R) - 2nd term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
