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Oregon
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Oregon is the 14th least conservative state, voting 6.6% less Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oregon is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Oregon ranks 47th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Mod DEM, 7 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Gordon Smith is seeking a third term in 2008. He currently faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Gordon Smith - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Jeff Merkley - Oregon Speaker of the House
David Loera
Steve Novick
Pavel Goberman
Candy Neville
Roger Obrist
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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Preliminary projection: Mod GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: David Wu (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 2: Greg Walden (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Earl Blumenauer (D)-inc vs. Delia Lopez (R)
District 4: Pete DeFazio (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 5: OPEN: ??? (D) vs. ??? (R) - possibly competitive
Election Timeline
March 11, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 20, 2008 - Presidential primary
May 20, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 4 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
11 GOP, 19 DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
29 GOP, 31 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Ted Kulongoski (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Ron Wyden (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Gordon Smith (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: David Wu (D) - 5th term
House District 2: Greg Walden (R) - 5th term
House District 3: Earl Blumenauer (D) - 7th term
House District 4: Pete DeFazio (D) - 11th term
House District 5: Darlene Hooley (D) - 6th term (retiring)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Mod DEM |
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| House |
1 GOP - 4 DEM |
1 GOP - 4 DEM |
1 GOP - 4 DEM |
1 GOP - 4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Strong DEM |
Strong DEM |
Mod DEM |
Strong DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Pennsylvania
Previous Stop: Oklahoma
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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