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South Carolina
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
South Carolina is the 16th most conservative state, voting 14.6% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, South Carolina's partisan trend is STEADY.
GOP Trend Ranking
South Carolina ranks 24th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid GOP, 8 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Lindsay Graham is seeking a second term in 2008. He currently faces only minor primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Lindsay Graham - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Michael Cone - Attorney
Bob Conley - Pilot
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Strong GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Henry Brown, Jr.? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: Joe Wilson? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Gresham Barrett (R)-inc vs. Jane Dyer (D)
District 4: Bob Inglis? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 5: John Spratt, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Albert Spencer (R)
District 6: Jim Clyburn (D)-inc vs. Nancy Harrelson (R)
Election Timeline
January 19, 2008 - Republican presidential primary
January 26, 2008 - Democratic presidential primary
March 31, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 10, 2008 - Primary elections
June 24, 2008 - Primary runoff
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
27 GOP, 19 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
73 GOP, 51 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mark Sanford (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Andre Bauer (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Lindsey Graham (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Jim DeMint (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Henry Brown (R) - 4th term
House District 2: Joe Wilson (R) - 4th term
House District 3: Gresham Barrett (R) - 3rd term
House District 4: Bob Inglis (R) - 5th term
House District 5: John Spratt, Jr. (D) - 13th term
House District 6: Jim Clyburn (D) - 8th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
-- |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Strong DEM |
|
| House |
4 GOP - 2 DEM |
4 GOP - 2 DEM |
4 GOP - 2 DEM |
4 GOP - 2 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: South Dakota
Previous Stop: Rhode Island
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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