|
|
Tennessee
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Tennessee is the 19th most conservative state, voting 11.8% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Tennessee is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Tennessee ranks 9th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| Incumbent approval (state) |
. |
. |
. |
| State partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
| Other issues |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Mod GOP, 11 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Lamar Alexander is seeking a second term in 2008. He currently faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Lamar Alexander - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Robert Tuke - Former Tennessee Democratic Party Chairman
Mike Padgett - Former Knox County Clerk
Mark Clayton
Gary Davis - Former Candidate
Charles Jackson
Leonard Ladner
Kenneth Eaton
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
. |
. |
. |
| Incumbent approval |
. |
. |
. |
| State partisanship |
. |
. |
. |
| Other issues |
. |
. |
. |
Preliminary projection: Solid GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: David Davis? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: John Duncan, Jr. (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 3: Zach Wamp? (R)-inc vs. Doug Vandagriff (D)
District 4: Lincoln Davis? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 5: Jim Cooper (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 6: Bart Gordon (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 7: Marsha Blackburn? (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 8: John Tanner (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 9: Steve Cohen (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
April 3, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 7, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate |
16 GOP, 16 DEM, 1 IND |
| State House - DEM control |
46 GOP, 52 DEM, 1 vacant |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Phil Bredesen (D) - 1st term, term-limited in 2010
Senior Senator: Lamar Alexander (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Bob Corker (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: David Davis (R) - 1sr term
House District 2: John Duncan (R) - 11th term
House District 3: Zach Wamp (R) - 7th term
House District 4: Lincoln Davis (D) - 3rd term
House District 5: Jim Cooper (D) - 3rd term
House District 6: Bart Gordon (D) - 12th term
House District 7: Marsha Blackburn (R) - 3rd term
House District 8: John Tanner (D) - 10th term
House District 9: Steve Cohen (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Weak GOP |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
Weak GOP |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
-- |
|
| Governor |
-- |
Weak Dem |
-- |
Solid DEM |
|
| House |
5 GOP - 4 DEM |
4 GOP - 5 DEM |
4 GOP - 5 DEM |
4 GOP - 5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Mod DEM |
Strong DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-7 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-8 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
|
| BOLD - party turnover
|
Race ratings:
|
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
|
|
|
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Texas
Previous Stop: South Dakota
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
Site Traffic
|
|
|
