Texas
Latest News and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Texas is the 10th most conservative state , voting 20.4% more Republican Partisan Trend
REPUBLICAN NOTE: Texas' significant trend toward the GOP can be attributed somewhat to the presence of former Gov. George W. Bush on
the ballot in 2000 and 2004.
GOP Trend Ranking
12th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Index Raw value Weight Factor
Head-to-head polls (state) . . .
Incumbent approval (state) . . .
State partisanship . . .
Other issues . . .
Preliminary projection: Strong GOP, 34 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent John Cornyn is seeking a 2nd term in 2008. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John Cornyn - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Richard Noriega - Texas State Representitive
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after fifty-state tour
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after fifty-state tour
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Index Raw value Weight Factor Pundit predictions . . . Head-to-head polls . . . District partisanship . . .
Preliminary projection: Strong GOP Hold
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 4
Incumbent: Freshman DEM incumbent Nick Lampson is seeking a 2nd term in 2008. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Pete Olsen - Congressional Aide
DEM Candidates
Nick Lampson - Incumbent
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after fifty-state tour
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after fifty-state tour
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Index Raw value Weight Factor Pundit predictions . . . Head-to-head polls . . . District partisanship . . .
Preliminary projection: Weak GOP Gain
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Louie Gohmert (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 2: Ted Poe (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 3: Sam Johnson (R)-inc vs. Thomas Daley (D)
District 4: Ralph Hall (R)-inc vs. Glenn Melancon (D)
District 5: Jeb Hensarling (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 6: Joe Barton (R)-inc vs. Ludwig Otto (D)
District 7: John Culberson (R)-inc vs. Michael Skelly (D)
District 8: Kevin Brady (R)-inc vs. Kent Hargett (D)
District 9: Al Green (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 10: Mike McCaul (R)-inc vs. Larry Joe Doherty (D)
District 11: Michael Conaway (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 12: Kay Granger (R)-inc vs. Tracey Smith (D)
District 13: "Mac" Thornberry (R)-inc vs. Roger Waun (D)
District 14: Ron Paul (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 15: Ruben Hinojosa (D)-inc vs. Eddie Zamora (R)
District 16: Silvestre Reyes (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 17: Chet Edwards (D)-inc vs. Rob Curnock (R)
District 18: Sheila Jackson Lee (D)-inc vs. John Faulk (R)
District 19: Randy Neugebauer (R)-inc vs. Dwight Fullingim (D)
District 20: Charlie Gonzalez (D)-inc vs. Robert Litoff (R)
District 21: Lamar Smith (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 23: Ciro Rodriguez (D)-inc vs. Lyle Larson (R)
District 24: Kenny Marchant (R)-inc vs. Tom Love (D)
District 25: Lloyd Doggett (D)-inc vs. George Morovich (R)
District 26: Michael Burgess (R)-inc vs. Ken Leach (D)
District 27: Solomon Ortiz (D)-inc vs. Willie Vaden (R)
District 28: Henry Cuellar (D)-inc vs. Jim Fish (R)
District 29: Gene Green (D)-inc vs. Eric Story (R)
District 30: Eddie Johnson (D)-inc vs. Fred Wood (R)
District 31: John Carter (R)-inc vs. Brian Ruiz (D)
District 32: Pete Sessions (R)-inc vs. Eric Robertson (D)
Election Timeline
January 2, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
March 4, 2008 - Presidential primary
March 4, 2008 - Primary elections
April 11, 2008 - Primary runoff
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
National Delegation Senators 2 GOP Representatives 19 GOP , 13 DEM State Government Governor GOP Lt. Governor GOP State Senate - GOP control 20 GOP , 11 DEM State House - GOP control 79 GOP , 70 DEM , 1 vacant
Current Office Holders
Governor: Rick Perry (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: David Dewhurst (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Senior Senator: Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: John Cornyn (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: Louie Gohmert (R) - 2nd term
House District 2: Ted Poe (R) - 2nd term
House District 3: Sam Johnson (R) - 9th term
House District 4: Ralph Hall (R) - 14th term
House District 5: Jeb Hensarling (R) - 3rd term
House District 6: Joe Barton (R) - 12th term
House District 7: John Culberson (R) - 4td term
House District 8: Kevin Brady (R) - 6th term
House District 9: Al Green (D) - 2nd term
House District 10: Mike McCaul (R) - 2nd term
House District 11: Michael Conaway (R) - 2nd term
House District 12: Kay Granger (R) - 6th term
House District 13: "Mac" Thornberry (R) - 7th term
House District 14: Ron Paul (R) - 9th term
House District 15: Ruben Hinojosa (D) - 10th term
House District 16: Silvestre Reyes (D) - 6th term
House District 17: Chet Edwards (D) - 9th term
House District 18: Sheila Jackson Lee (D) - 7th term
House District 19: Randy Neugebauer (R) - 3rd term
House District 20: Charlie Gonzalez (D) - 5th term
House District 21: Lamar Smith (R) - 11th term
House District 22: Nick Lampson (D) - 1st term
House District 23: Ciro Rodriguez (D) - 1st term
House District 24: Kenny Marchant (R) - 2nd term
House District 25: Lloyd Doggett (D) - 7th term
House District 26: Michael Burgess (R) - 3rd term
House District 27: Solomon Ortiz (D) - 13th term
House District 28: Henry Cuellar (D) - 2nd term
House District 29: Gene Green (D) - 8th term
House District 30: Eddie Johnson (D) - 8th term
House District 31: John Carter (R) - 3rd term
House District 32: Pete Sessions (R) - 6th term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result
President Solid GOP -- Solid GOP --
Senate
Class 1 Solid GOP -- -- Solid GOP
Class 2 -- Strong GOP -- --
Governor -- Solid GOP -- Mod GOP
House 13 GOP - 17 DEM 15 GOP - 17 DEM 21 GOP - 11 DEM 19 GOP - 13 DEM
CD-1 Strong DEM Strong DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-2 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-4 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-5 Strong GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-7 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-8 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-9 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-10 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-11 Strong DEM Mod DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-12 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-13 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-14 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-15 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-16 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-17 Solid DEM Weak DEM Weak DEM Solid DEM
CD-18 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-19 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-20 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-21 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-22 Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP Strong DEM
CD-23 Solid GOP Weak GOP Solid GOP Weak DEM
CD-24 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-25 Solid DEM Strong DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-26 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-27 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-28 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-29 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-30 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
CD-31 NA Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
CD-32 NA Solid GOP Strong GOP Solid GOP
BOLD - party turnover
Race ratings:
"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
Tour The 50 States
Utah
Tennessee
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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