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Virginia
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Virginia is the 24th most conservative state, voting 5.7% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Virginia is trending is DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Virginia ranks 40th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Mod GOP, 13 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent John Warner is retiring in 2009 at the end of his fifth term.
GOP Candidates
James Gilmore, III - Former Governor of Virginia
Robert Marshall - Virginia State Delegate
Robert Barry
DEM Candidates
Mark Warner - Former Governor of Virginia
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
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Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Strong DEM Gain
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 11
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Tom Davis is retiring in 2009 at the end of his seventh term.
GOP Candidates
Keith Fimian - Customs Inspector
DEM Candidates
Leslie Byrne - Former U.S. Representative from Virginia
Gerald Connolly - Farifax County Chairman
Doug Denneny - Navy Pilot
Lori Alexander
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Gain
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Robert Wittman (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: Thelma Drake (R)-inc vs. Glenn Nye, III (D) - possibily competitive
District 3: Bobby Scott (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Randy Forbes (R)-inc vs. Andrea Miller (D)
District 5: Virgil Goode, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Tom Perriello (D)
District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R)-inc vs. Sam Rasoul (D)
District 7: Eric Cantor (R)-inc vs. Anita Hartke (D)
District 8: Jim Moran, Jr.? (D)-inc vs. ??? (R)
District 9: Rick Boucher (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 10: Frank Wolf (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
Election Timeline
February 12, 2008 - Presidential primary
April 11, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 10, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
8 GOP, 3 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
19 GOP, 21 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
53 GOP, 45 DEM, 2 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Tim Kaine (D) - 1st term, barred from running in 2009
Lt. Governor: Bill Bolling (R) - 1st term, next election in 2009
Senior Senator: John Warner (R) - 5th term, not seeking re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: James Webb, Jr. (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Robert Wittman (R) - 1st term (partial)
House District 2: Thelma Drake (R) - 2nd term
House District 3: Bobby Scott (D) - 8th term
House District 4: Randy Forbes (R) - 4th term
House District 5: Virgil Goode (R) - 6th term
House District 6: Bob Goodlatte (R) - 8th term
House District 7: Eric Cantor (R) - 4th term
House District 8: Jim Moran, Jr. (D) - 9th term
House District 9: Rick Boucher (D) - 13th term
House District 10: Frank Wolf (R) - 14th term
House District 11: Tom Davis, III (R) - 7th term (retiring)
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Weak GOP |
-- |
-- |
Weak Dem |
| Class 2 |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
|
Governor
(2001-2005) |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Mod DEM |
-- |
|
| House |
6 G, 4 D, 1 I |
8 GOP - 3 DEM |
8 GOP - 3 DEM |
8 GOP - 3 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
Weak GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-5 |
Solid IND |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-8 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-9 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-10 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-11 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Strong GOP |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Washington
Previous Stop: Vermont
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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