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Vermont
Latest News and Updates
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Conservative Ranking
Vermont is the 3rd least conservative state, voting 22.6% less Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Vermont is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Vermont ranks LAST among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
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Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Solid DEM, 3 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent James Douglas is seeking a fourth term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
James Douglas - Incumbent
DEM Candidates
Gaye Symington - Vermont State Speaker of the House
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
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| Incumbent approval |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Strong GOP Hold
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2008
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District AL: Peter Welch (D)-inc vs. Randy Brock (R)
Election Timeline
March 4, 2008 - Presidential primary
July 21, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 DEM, 1 IND |
| Representatives |
1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
7 GOP, 23 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
49 GOP, 93 DEM, 8 other |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Jim Douglas (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: Brain Dubie (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Senior Senator: Patrick Leahy (D) - 6th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Bernie Sanders (I) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
House District AL: Peter Welch (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Mod Dem |
-- |
Solid Dem |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
Solid IND |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
-- |
|
| Governor |
Mod DEM |
Strong GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
|
| House |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 IND |
1 DEM |
| CD-AL |
Solid IND |
Solid IND |
Solid IND |
Mod Dem |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Virginia
Previous Stop: Utah
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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