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Wisconsin
Latest News and Updates
Coming soon...
Conservative Ranking
Wisconsin is the 19th least conservative state, voting 2.9% less Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Wisconsin is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Wisconsin ranks 35th among the 50 states.
Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina (withdrew)
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico (withdrew)
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10) (withdrew)
Party nominee -
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to-head polls (state) |
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| Incumbent approval (state) |
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| State partisanship |
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| Other issues |
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Preliminary projection: Weak GOP, 10 Electoral Votes
Senate Race
No race in 2008
Governor's Race
No race in 2008
Competitive House Races
District 8
Incumbent: Democratic incumbent Steve Kagen seeks a second term in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
John Gard - Former Wisconsin State Representative
DEM Candidates
Steve Kagen - Incumbent
Pundit Predictions - punditry to be tracked after party primaries
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
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| Head-to-head polls |
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| District partisanship |
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Preliminary projection: Weak DEM Hold
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Paul Ryan (R)-inc vs. ??? (D)
District 2: Tammy Baldwin (D)-inc vs. David Redick (R)
District 3: Ronald Kind (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 4: Gwendolynne Moore (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Tom Petri? (R)-inc vs. Roger Kittelson (D)
District 7: David Obey (D)-inc vs. Daniel Mielke (R)
Election Timeline
February 19, 2008 - Presidential primary
July 8, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
3 GOP, 5 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
15 GOP, 18 DEM |
| State Assembly - GOP control |
52 GOP, 47 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: James Doyle (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
Lt. Governor: Barbara Lawton (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Herb Kohl (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
Junior Senator: Russ Feingold (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Paul Ryan (R) - 5th term
House District 2: Tammy Baldwin (D) - 5th term
House District 3: Ronald Kind (D) - 6th term
House District 4: Gwendolynne Moore (D) - 2nd term
House District 5: Jim Sensenbrenner, Jr. (R) - 15th term (might retire)
House District 6: Tom Petri (R) - 8th term
House District 7: David Obey (D) - 20th term (might retire)
House District 8: Steve Kagen (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
|
| President |
Weak Dem |
-- |
Weak Dem |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid DEM |
-- |
-- |
Solid DEM |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Strong DEM |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak Dem |
-- |
Mod DEM |
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| House |
4 GOP - 5 DEM |
4 GOP - 4 DEM |
4 GOP - 4 DEM |
3 GOP - 5 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-2 |
Weak DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-3 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Strong DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-4 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak DEM |
| CD-9 |
Solid GOP |
NA |
NA |
NA |
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BOLD - party turnover
Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Wyoming
Previous Stop: West Virginia
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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