Alabama
Latest News and Updates
Gov: SurveyUSA: Riley 54%, Baxley 39% - 11/02/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Riley +12 (down 3) - 10/23/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Riley 56%, Baxley 37% - 10/19/06
Gov: University of South Alabama: Riley 57%, Baxley 32% - 10/10/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Riley 54%, Baxley 38% - 09/29/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Riley +15 (down 12) - 09/25/06
Gov: The Birmingham News: Riley 55%, Baxley 34% - 09/12/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Riley +27 (up 4) - 08/27/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Riley 55%, Baxley 35% - 08/08/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Riley 52%, Baxley 38% - 07/27/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Riley +23 (down 7) - 07/23/06
Tracking initiated - 07/10/06
Conservative Ranking
Alabama is the 7th most conservative state, voting
23.2% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alabama is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Alabama ranks 8th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
No race in 2006
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Bob Riley is seeking re-election for the first time in 2006. He faced primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Bob Riley - Incumbent 
Roy Moore - Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice
Democrat Candidates
Don Siegelman - Former Governor of Alabama
Lucy Baxley - Lt. Governor of Alabama
Harry Lyon - Attorney
Joe Copeland - Environmental Activist
Nathan Mathis - Former Alabama State Representative
James Potts
Katherine Mack
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Bob Riley +15.1
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Riley |
Baxley |
| SurveyUSA |
11/02 |
54% |
39% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
15.0 |
80% |
12.0 |
| Incumbent approval |
12 |
15% |
1.8 |
| State partisanship |
25.7 |
5% |
1.3 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| November 2, 2006 |
Riley +15.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Riley +21.5 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 19, 2006 |
Riley +21.9 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 10, 2006 |
Riley +20.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 28, 2006 |
Riley +18.3 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Riley +20.3 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 12, 2006 |
Riley +22.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Riley +21.9 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 8, 2006 |
Riley +21.3 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 27, 2006 |
Riley +19.7 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 23, 2006 |
Riley +18.9 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 10, 2006 |
Riley +19.9 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jo Bonner (R)-inc vs. Vivian Beckerle (D)
District 2: Terry Everett (R)-inc vs. Charles James (D)
District 3: Mike Rogers (R)-inc vs. Greg Pierce (D)
District 4: Robert Aderholt (R)-inc vs. Barbara Bobo (D)
District 5: Robert "Bud" Cramer (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 6: Spencer Bachus (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 7: Artur Davis (D)-inc (unopposed)
Election Timeline
April 7, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 6, 2006 - Primary elections
June 27, 2006 - Primary runoff
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
5 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
10 GOP, 25 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
42 GOP, 63 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Bob Riley (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
Lt. Governor: Lucy Baxley (D) - 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2006
Senior Senator: Richard Shelby (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jeff Sessions (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: Jo Bonner (R) - 2nd term
House District 2: Terry Everett(R) - 7th term
House District 3: Mike Rogers (R) - 2nd term
House District 4: Robert Aderholt (R) - 5th term
House District 5: Robert "Bud" Cramer (D) - 8th term
House District 6: Spencer Bachus (R) - 7th term
House District 7: Arthur Davis (D) - 2nd term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Alaska
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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