Delaware
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: Farleigh Dickinson: Carper 60%, Ting 26% - 11/02/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Carper +25 (down 6) - 10/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Carper +31 (up 2) - 10/07/06
Sen: Farleigh Dickinson: Carper 63%, Ting 23% - 09/22/06
Tracking initiated and primary winners posted - 09/13/06
Conservative Ranking
Delaware is the 11th least conservative state, voting
10.1% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Delaware is trending DEMOCRAT.
GOP Trend Ranking
Delaware ranks 36th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: DEM incumbent Tom Carper is up for re-election for the first time in 2006. He faces no
primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Jan Ting - Former U.S. Immigration Commissioner 
Mike Protack - Senate Candidate in 2002, Gubernatorial Candidate in 2004
Jim Ursomarso - Lt. Governor Nominee in 2004
Democrat Candidates
Tom Carper - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Tom Carper +31.3
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Ting |
Carper |
| Farleigh Dickinson |
11/02 |
26% |
60% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
34.0 |
80% |
27.2 |
| Incumbent approval |
25 |
15% |
3.7 |
| State partisanship |
7.6 |
5% |
0.4 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Carper +31.3 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| November 2, 2006 |
Carper +31.3 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Carper +36.1 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 7, 2006 |
Carper +37.0 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 22, 2006 |
Carper +36.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 13, 2006 |
Carper +32.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Hold |
Governor's Race
No race in 2006
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Mike Castle (R)-inc vs. Dennis Spivack (D)
Election Timeline
July 28, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 12, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
8 GOP, 13 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
25 GOP, 15 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Ruth Ann Minner (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2008
Lt. Governor: John Carney (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Senior Senator: Joseph Biden (D) - 7th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Tom Carper (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
House District 1: Mike Castle (R) - 7th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Florida
Previous Stop: Connecticut
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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