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Georgia
Latest News and Updates
CD-12: Insider Advantage: Barrow 42%, Burns 39% - 11/01/06
Gov: Strategic Vision: Perdue 52%, Taylor 36% - 11/01/06
Gov: Mason-Dixon: Perdue 53%, Taylor 36% - 10/31/06
Gov: Strategic Vision: Perdue 51%, Taylor 32%, Hayes 9% - 10/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Perdue +29 (down 3) - 10/23/06
Gov: Strategic Vision: Perdue 50%, Taylor 36% - 10/18/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Perdue 58%, Taylor 32% - 10/17/06
Replaced TBC with Stuart Rothenberg in House race pundit projections - 10/16/06
Gov: Strategic Vision: Perdue 51%, Taylor 38% - 09/27/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Perdue +32 (up 2) - 09/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Perdue +30 (up 9) - 08/27/06
Gov: Strategic Vision: Perdue 54%, Taylor 41% - 08/22/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Perdue 53%, Taylor 39% - 08/04/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Perdue +21 (down 11) - 07/23/06
Tracking initiated after primaries - 07/20/06
Conservative Ranking
Georgia is the 17th most conservative state, voting
14.1% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Georgia is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Georgia ranks 14th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
No race in 2006
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Sonny Perdue is seeking a second term in 2006. He faced only
token primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Sonny Perdue - Incumbent 
Ray McBerry
Democrat Candidates
Bill Bolton
Cathy Cox - Georgia Secretary of State
Mac McCarley
Mark Taylor - Georgia Lt. Governor
Libertarian Candidate
Garrett Micheal Hayes - Vice Chair, Georgia Libertarian Party
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Sonny Perdue +18.4
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Perdue |
Taylor |
| Strategic Vision |
11/01 |
52% |
36% |
| Mason-Dixon |
10/31 |
53% |
36% |
Projection Data
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
16.5 |
80% |
13.2 |
| Incumbent approval |
29 |
15% |
4.4 |
| State partisanship |
16.6 |
5% |
0.8 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| November 1, 2006 |
Perdue +18.4 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 31, 2006 |
Perdue +19.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 25, 2006 |
Perdue +23.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Perdue +21.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 18, 2006 |
Perdue +21.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 17, 2006 |
Perdue +21.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 27, 2006 |
Perdue +16.0 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Perdue +16.4 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Perdue +16.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 22, 2006 |
Perdue +14.8 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| August 4, 2006 |
Perdue +12.0 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| July 23, 2006 |
Perdue +12.4 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| July 20, 2006 |
Perdue +14.0 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Competitive House Races
District 8
Incumbent: Democrat Jim Marshall is up for a 3rd term 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
"Mac" Collins - Former Georgia Representative to the U.S. House
James Neal Harris
Democrat Candidates
Jim Marshall - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Jim Marshall +3.3
Pundit Predictions
| Pundit |
Date |
Prediction |
| Stuart Rothenberg |
10/13 |
Marshall by 2 (Tilt DEM) |
| Charlie Cook |
6/29 |
Marshall by 4 (Lean DEM) |
| Larry Sabato |
6/29 |
Marshall by 4 (Lean DEM) |
| Congressional Quarterly |
7/10 |
Marshall by 4 (Lean DEM) |
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Collins |
Marshall |
| |
|
|
|
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
3.5 |
95% |
3.3 |
| Head-to-head polls |
|
up to 50% |
|
| District partisanship |
-1.0 |
5% |
-0.1 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| October 16, 2006 |
Marshall +3.3 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| July 20, 2006 |
Marshall +4.2 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Weak DEM Hold |
District 12
Incumbent: Democrat John Barrow is seeking re-election for the first time in 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Max Burns - Former Georgia Representative to the U.S. House
Democrat Candidates
John Barrow - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: John Barrow +3.6
Pundit Predictions
| Pundit |
Date |
Prediction |
| Stuart Rothenberg |
10/13 |
Barrow by 2 (Tilt DEM) |
| Charlie Cook |
6/29 |
Barrow by 4 (Lean DEM) |
| Larry Sabato |
6/29 |
Barrow by 4 (Lean DEM) |
| Congressional Quarterly |
7/10 |
Barrow by 4 (Lean DEM) |
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Burns |
Barrow |
| Insider Advantage |
11/01 |
39% |
42% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Pundit predictions |
3.5 |
70% |
2.5 |
| Head-to-head polls |
3.0 |
25% |
0.8 |
| District partisanship |
7.0 |
5% |
0.4 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| November 1, 2006 |
Barrow +3.6 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| October 16, 2006 |
Barrow +3.7 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| August 9, 2006 |
Barrow +3.4 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| July 20, 2006 |
Barrow +4.2 |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Weak DEM Hold |
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Jack Kingston (R)-inc vs. Jim Nelson (D)
District 2: Sanford Bishop (D)-inc vs. Bradley Hughes (R)
District 3: Lynn Westmoreland (R)-inc vs. Mike McGraw (D)
District 4: Hank Johnson (D) vs. Catherine Davis (R)
District 5: John Lewis (D)-inc (unopposed)
District 6: Thomas Price (R)-inc vs. Steve Sinton (D)
District 7: John Linder (R)-inc vs. Allan Burns (D)
District 9: Nathan Deal (R)-inc vs. John Bradbury (D)
District 10: Charlie Norwood, Jr. (R)-inc vs. Jerry Holley (D)
District 11: Phil Gingrey (R)-inc vs. Patrick Pillion (D)
District 13: David Scott (D) vs. Deborah Huneycutt (R)
Election Timeline
April 28, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
July 18, 2006 - Primary elections
August 8, 2006 - Primary runoff elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
7 GOP, 6 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
34 GOP, 22 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
101 GOP, 78 DEM, 1 IND |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Sonny Perdue (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
Lt. Governor: Mark Taylor (D) - 2nd term, running for Governor in 2006
Senior Senator: Saxby Chambliss (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Johnny Isakson (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Jack Kingston (R) - 7th term
House District 2: Sanford Bishop (D) - 7th term
House District 3: Lynn Westmoreland (R) - 1st term
House District 4: Cynthia McKinney (D) - 1st term
House District 5: John Lewis (D) - 10th term
House District 6: Thomas Price (R) - 1st term
House District 7: John Linder (R) - 7th term
House District 9: Nathan Deal (R) - 7th term
House District 10: Charlie Norwood, Jr. (R) - 6th term
House District 11: Phil Gingrey (R) - 2nd term
House District 13: David Scott (D) - 2nd term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Hawaii
Previous Stop: Florida
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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