Mississippi
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Lott +36 (down 2) - 10/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Lott +38 (up 3) - 10/07/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Lott +35 (down 5) - 08/18/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Lott +40 (up 3) - 07/26/06
Tracking initiated - 07/13/06
Conservative Ranking
Mississippi is the 15th most conservative state, voting
17.2% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Mississippi is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Mississippi ranks 10th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: Former GOP majority leader Trent Lott is seeking a 4th term in 2006. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Trent Lott - Incumbent 
Democrat Candidates
Erik Fleming - Mississippi State Representative
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Trent Lott +33.6
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Lott |
Fleming |
| SurveyUSA |
2/13 |
64% |
30% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
34.0 |
80% |
27.2 |
| Incumbent approval |
36 |
15% |
5.4 |
| State partisanship |
19.6 |
5% |
1.0 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Lott +33.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Lott +33.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 7, 2006 |
Lott +33.9 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 18, 2006 |
Lott +33.5 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 31, 2006 |
Lott +34.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 13, 2006 |
Lott +33.8 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Governor's Race
No race in 2006
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Roger Wicker (R)-inc vs. Ken Hurt (D)
District 2: Bennie Thompson? (D)-inc vs. Yvonne Brown (R)
District 3: Chip Pickering, Jr. (R)-inc (unopposed)
District 4: Gene Taylor (D)-inc vs. Randy McDonnell (R)
Election Timeline
March 1, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 6, 2006 - Primary elections
June 27, 2006 - Primary runoff
November 7, 2006 - Election day
November 21, 2006 - Runoff
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
24 GOP, 28 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
47 GOP, 75 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Haley Barbour (R) - term, up for re-election in 2007
Lt. Governor: Amy Tuck (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2007
Senior Senator: Thad Cochran (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Trent Lott (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2006
House District 1: Roger Wicker (R) - 6th term
House District 2: Bennie Thompson (D) - 7th term
House District 3: Chip Pickering, Jr. (R) - 5th term
House District 4: Gene Taylor (D) - 9th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Missouri
Previous Stop: Minnesota
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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