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North Dakota
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Conrad +52 (down 1) - 10/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Conrad +53 (unchanged) - 10/07/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Conrad +53 (up 4) - 08/18/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Conrad +49 (down 7) - 07/26/06
Tracking initiated - 07/14/06
Conservative Ranking
North Dakota is the 6th most conservative state, voting
24.9% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, North Dakota is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
North Dakota ranks 15th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democratic Non-partisan League incumbent Kent Conrad is up for a 4th term in 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Dwight Grotberg - Farmer 
Democrat Candidates
Kent Conrad - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Kent Conrad +16.8
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Grotberg |
Conrad |
| Rasmussen |
1/25 |
40% |
53% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
13.0 |
80% |
10.4 |
| Incumbent approval |
52 |
15% |
7.9 |
| State partisanship |
-27.4 |
5% |
-1.4 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Conrad +16.8 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Conrad +16.8 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 18, 2006 |
Conrad +17.0 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| July 31, 2006 |
Conrad +16.4 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| July 14, 2006 |
Conrad +17.4 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Hold |
Governor's Race
No race in 2006
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Earl Pomeroy (DNL)-inc vs. Matt Mechtel (R)
Election Timeline
April 17, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 13, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
32 GOP, 15 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
67 GOP, 27 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: John Hoeven (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: Jack Dalrymple (R) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Kent Conrad (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2006
Junior Senator: Byron Dorgan (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Earl Pomeroy (D) - 7th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Ohio
Previous Stop: North Carolina
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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