Oklahoma
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Gov: SurveyUSA: Henry 64%, Istook 32% - 10/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Henry +41 (down 13) - 10/23/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Henry 59%, Istook 34% - 09/29/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Henry 64%, Istook 33% - 09/27/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Henry +54 (up 10) - 09/25/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Henry 54%, Istook 33% - 09/06/06
Gov: SurveyUSA: Henry 60%, Istook 34% - 08/28/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Henry +44 (up 5) - 08/27/06
Gov: RATING CHANGE: Mod DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold - 08/24/06
Tracking initiated and primary winners posted - 08/24/06
Conservative Ranking
Oklahoma is the 5th most conservative state, voting 28.7% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Oklahoma is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Oklahoma ranks 5th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
No race in 2006
Governor's Race
Incumbent: Democrat Brad Henry is up for re-election for the first time in 2006. He faced only token primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Ernest Istook - Oklahoma Representative to the U.S. House 
Bob Sullivan, Jr. - Oil Executive
James Williamson - Oklahoma State Senator
Jim Evanoff
Democrat Candidates
Brad Henry - Incumbent
Andrew Marr
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Brad Henry +30.2
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Istook |
Henry |
| SurveyUSA |
10/25 |
32% |
64% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
32.0 |
80% |
25.6 |
| Incumbent approval |
41 |
15% |
6.2 |
| State partisanship |
31.2 |
5% |
-1.6 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Henry +30.2 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 25, 2006 |
Henry +30.2 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Henry +27.0 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 29, 2006 |
Henry +28.9 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Henry +27.3 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Henry +25.3 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 6, 2006 |
Henry +23.8 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 28, 2006 |
Henry +25.8 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Henry +27.4 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 24, 2006 |
Henry +26.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Mod DEM Hold |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: John Sullivan (R)-inc vs. Alan Gentges (D)
District 2: Dan Boren (D)-inc vs. Patrick Miller (R)
District 3: Frank Lucas (R)-inc vs. Sue Barton (D)
District 4: Tom Cole (R)-inc vs. Hal Spake (D)
District 5: OPEN: Mary Fallin (R) vs. David Hunter (D)
Election Timeline
June 7, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
July 25, 2006 - Primary elections
August 22, 2006 - Primary runoff
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
4 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - DEM control |
21 GOP, 26 DEM, 1 vacant |
| State House - GOP control |
57 GOP, 44 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Brad Henry (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
Lt. Governor: Mary Fallin (R) - 3rd term, running for Congress (5th District)
Senior Senator: Jim Inhofe (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Tom Coburn (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: John Sullivan (R) - 3rd term
House District 2: Dan Boren (D) - 1st term
House District 3: Frank Lucas (R) - 7th term
House District 4: Tom Cole (R) - 2nd term
House District 5: Ernest Istook (R) - 7th term (running for Governor)
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Oregon
Previous Stop: Ohio
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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