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 Election 2006 Projections

 


 


Pennsylvania

Latest News and Updates

  • Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
  • CD-8:  Global Strategies (D):  Murphy 46%, Fitzpatrick 41% - 11/02/06
  • CD-8:  Morning Call:  Fitzpatrick 47%, Murphy 42% - 11/01/06
  • CD-10:  Pundit rating change - 11/01/06
  • Sen:  Quinnipiac:  Casey 52%, Santorum 42% - 11/01/06
  • Sen:  Keystone Poll:  Casey 56%, Santorum 39% - 11/01/06
  • Sen:  Strategic Vision:  Casey 49%, Santorum 39% - 11/01/06
  • Gov:  Quinnipiac:  Rendell 58%, Swann 35% - 11/01/06
  • Gov:  Keystone Poll:  Rendell 59%, Swann 34% - 11/01/06
  • Gov:  Strategic Vision:  Rendell 58%, Swann 37% - 11/01/06
  • CD-6:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain - 10/31/06
  • CD-6:  Constituent Dynamics:  Murphy 51%, Gerlach 46% - 10/31/06
  • CD-8:  Constituent Dynamics:  Murphy 50%, Fitzpatrick 47% - 10/31/06
  • CD-10:  Lycoming College:  Carney 47%, Sherwood 38% - 10/30/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 55%, Santorum 42% - 10/30/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 56%, Swann 38% - 10/30/06
  • Sen:  West Chester University:  Casey 50%, Santorum 39% - 10/30/06
  • Gov:  West Chester University:  Rendell 57%, Swann 32% - 10/30/06
  • Sen:  Philadelphia Inquirer:  Casey 54%, Santorum 38% - 10/30/06
  • Gov:  Philadelphia Inquirer:  Rendell 58%, Swann 34% - 10/30/06
  • CD-10:  Pundit rating change - 10/27/06
  • CD-8:  Keystone Poll:  Fitzpatrick 48%, Murphy 39% - 10/27/06
  • CD-8:  Pundit rating change - 10/27/06
  • CD-7:  Beneson Strategies (D):  Sestak 50%, Weldon 43% - 10/27/06
  • CD-7:  Pundit rating change - 10/27/06
  • CD-6:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold - 10/27/06
  • CD-6:  Garin Hart Young (D):  Murphy 47%, Gerlach 44% - 10/27/06
  • Sen:  SurveyUSA approval:  Santorum -19 (down 5) - 10/27/06
  • CD-10:  Keystone Poll:  Carney 48%, Sherwood 39% - 10/26/06
  • Sen:  Mason-Dixon:  Casey 51%, Santorum 39% - 10/25/06
  • Gov:  Mason-Dixon:  Rendell 56%, Swann 35% - 10/25/06
  • Sen:  Strategic Vision:  Casey 49%, Santorum 42% - 10/24/06
  • Gov:  Strategic Vision:  Rendell 57%, Swann 37% - 10/24/06
  • CD-10:  Momentum Analysis (D):  Carney 52%, Sherwood 37% - 10/23/06
  • Gov:  SurveyUSA approval:  Rendell +18 (down 5) - 10/23/06
  • CD-8:  Pundit rating change - 10/21/06
  • CD-7:  Pundit rating change - 10/21/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 57%, Swann 40% - 10/19/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 54%, Santorum 41% - 10/18/06
  • CD-8:  RATING CHANGE:  Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold - 10/17/06
  • CD-8:  Grove Insights (D):  Murphy 44%, Fitzpatrick 40% - 10/17/06
  • CD-7:  Pundit rating change - 10/16/06
  • Replaced TBC with Stuart Rothenberg in House race pundit projections - 10/16/06
  • CD-6:  Constituent Dynamics:  Murphy 52%, Gerlach 46% - 10/13/06
  • CD-7:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain - 10/13/06
  • CD-7:  Constituent Dynamics:  Sestak 52%, Weldon 44% - 10/13/06
  • CD-7:  Pundit rating change - 10/13/06
  • CD-10:  Bennett Petts (D):  Carney 51%, Sherwood 37% - 10/13/06
  • CD-10:  Pundit rating change - 10/11/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 50%, Santorum 37% - 10/11/06
  • Sen:  Muhlenberg College:  Casey 46%, Santorum 41% - 10/10/06
  • Gov:  Muhlenberg College:  Rendell 56%, Swann 35% - 10/10/06
  • Sen:  SurveyUSA approval:  Santorum -14 (down 15) - 10/07/06
  • CD-10:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain - 10/04/06
  • CD-10:  Lycoming College:  Carney 47%, Sherwood 38% - 10/04/06
  • Sen:  Mason-Dixon:  Casey 49%, Santorum 40% - 10/02/06
  • Gov:  Mason-Dixon:  Rendell 54%, Swann 37% - 10/02/06
  • CD-7:  RATING CHANGE:  Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold - 09/29/06
  • CD-7:  Keystone Poll:  Sestak 44%, Weldon 43% - 09/29/06
  • Sen:  Strategic Vision:  Casey 50%, Santorum 40% - 09/28/06
  • Gov:  Strategic Vision:  Rendell 55%, Swann 37% - 09/28/06
  • CD-6:  Keystone Poll:  Gerlach 45%, Murphy 38% - 09/28/06
  • Sen:  Quinnipiac:  Casey 51%, Santorum 39% - 09/26/06
  • Gov:  Quinnipiac:  Rendell 55%, Swann 39% - 09/27/06
  • Sen:  Philadelphia Inquirer:  Casey 49%, Santorum 39% - 09/25/06
  • Gov:  Philadelphia Inquirer:  Rendell 60%, Swann 33% - 09/25/06
  • Gov:  SurveyUSA approval:  Rendell +23 (up 3) - 09/25/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 49%, Santorum 39% - 09/22/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 56%, Swann 36% - 09/22/06
  • Sen:  Keystone Poll:  Casey 45%, Santorum 38% - 09/21/06
  • Gov:  RATING CHANGE:  Mod DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold - 09/21/06
  • Gov:  Keystone Poll:  Rendell 52%, Swann 34% - 09/21/06
  • CD-6:  Public Opinion Strategies(R):  Gerlach 47%, Murphy 39% - 09/19/06
  • CD-6:  Murphy Campaign:  Murphy 42%, Gerlach 41% - 09/19/06
  • CD-7:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold - 09/18/06
  • CD-7:  Public Opinion Strategies(R):  Weldon 52%, Sestak 36% - 09/18/06
  • CD-6:  Constituent Dynamics:  Murphy 50%, Gerlach 45% - 09/07/06
  • CD-8:  RATING CHANGE:  Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold - 09/07/06
  • CD-8:  Constituent Dynamics:  Fitzpatrick 53%, Murphy 45% - 09/07/06
  • CD-10:  RATING CHANGE:  possibly competitive to Weak GOP Hold - 09/07/06
  • CD-10:  Constituent Dynamics:  Carney 50%, Sherwood 43% - 09/07/06
  • Sen:  USA Today/Gallup:  Casey 56%, Santorum 38% - 09/04/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 48%, Santorum 40% - 08/28/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 50%, Swann 38% - 08/28/06
  • Gov:  SurveyUSA approval:  Rendell +20 (down 5) - 08/27/06
  • Sen:  Keystone Poll:  Casey 44%, Santorum 39% - 08/24/06
  • Sen:  SurveyUSA approval:  Santorum +3 (up 10) - 08/18/06
  • Sen:  Strategic Vision:  Casey 47%, Santorum 41% - 08/17/06
  • Gov:  Strategic Vision:  Rendell 51%, Swann 41% - 08/17/06
  • Gov:  Quinnipiac:  Rendell 57%, Swann 38% - 08/16/06
  • Sen:  Quinnipiac approval:  Santorum -2 - 08/15/06
  • Sen:  Quinnipiac:  Casey 48%, Santorum 42%, Romanelli 5% - 08/15/06
  • CD-6:  Larry Sabato:  Toss-up to Leans DEM - 08/14/06
  • CD-7:  RATING CHANGE:  possibly competitive to Weak GOP Hold - 08/09/06
  • CD-8:  RATING CHANGE:  possibly competitive to Weak GOP Hold - 08/09/06
  • Sen:  Muhlenberg College:  Casey 45%, Santorum 39% - 08/07/06
  • Gov:  Muhlenberg College:  Rendell 51%, Swann 35% - 08/07/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 50%, Santorum 39% - 08/03/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 50%, Swann 40% - 08/03/06
  • Sen:  SurveyUSA approval:  Santorum -7 (up 12) - 07/26/06
  • Gov:  SurveyUSA approval:  Rendell +25 (up 3) - 07/23/06
  • Sen:  Rasmussen:  Casey 50%, Santorum 40% - 07/20/06
  • Gov:  Rasmussen:  Rendell 49%, Swann 36% - 07/20/06
  • Tracking initiated - 07/14/06

    Conservative Ranking

    Pennsylvania is the 17th least conservative state, voting 5.0% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

    Partisan Trend

    Based on voting patterns since 1992, Pennsylvania is trending DEMOCRAT.

    GOP Trend Ranking

    Pennsylvania ranks 34th among the 50 states.

    Senate Race

    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Rick Santorum is up for a 3rd term in 2006.  He faced only token primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Rick Santorum - Incumbent  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Bob Casey, Jr. - Pennsylvania State Treasurer  
  • Chuck Pennacchio - Professor
  • Alan Sandals - Attorney
  • Edward Cook

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Bob Casey, Jr. +12.3 - DEM pick-up

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Santorum Casey
        Mason-Dixon 11/02 39% 52%
        Strategic Vision 11/01 39% 49%
        Morning Call 11/01 43% 51%
        Quinnipiac 10/29 42% 52%
        Keystone Poll 10/29 39% 56%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Head-to head polls -11.6 80% -9.3
        Incumbent approval -19 15% -2.9
        State partisanship -2.5 5% -0.1

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projection Casey +12.3 Mod DEM Gain
        November 1, 2006 Casey +13.5 Mod DEM Gain
        October 30, 2006 Casey +12.4 Mod DEM Gain
        October 27, 2006 Casey +11.2 Mod DEM Gain
        October 25, 2006 Casey +10.4 Mod DEM Gain
        October 24, 2006 Casey +9.6 Mod DEM Gain
        October 11, 2006 Casey +10.1 Mod DEM Gain
        October 10, 2006 Casey +9.6 Mod DEM Gain
        October 7, 2006 Casey +10.4 Mod DEM Gain
        October 2, 2006 Casey +8.2 Mod DEM Gain
        September 28, 2006 Casey +7.9 Mod DEM Gain
        September 26, 2006 Casey +9.2 Mod DEM Gain
        September 25, 2006 Casey +9.0 Mod DEM Gain
        September 22, 2006 Casey +9.3 Mod DEM Gain
        September 21, 2006 Casey +8.9 Mod DEM Gain
        September 4, 2006 Casey +6.9 Mod DEM Gain
        August 28, 2006 Casey +5.1 Mod DEM Gain
        August 24, 2006 Casey +5.6 Mod DEM Gain
        August 18, 2006 Casey +5.8 Mod DEM Gain
        August 17, 2006 Casey +6.6 Mod DEM Gain
        August 14, 2006 Casey +6.9 Mod DEM Gain
        August 7, 2006 Casey +10.0 Mod DEM Gain
        August 3, 2006 Casey +11.2 Mod DEM Gain
        July 31, 2006 Casey +11.0 Mod DEM Gain
        July 20, 2006 Casey +13.0 Mod DEM Gain
        Preliminary ----- Weak DEM Gain

    Governor's Race

    Incumbent:  DEM incumbent Ed Rendell is seeking a second term in 2006.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Lynn Swann - Former NFL Player  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Ed Rendell - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Ed Rendell +20.3

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Swann Rendell
        Mason-Dixon 11/02 38% 56%
        Morning Call 11/01 35% 60%
        Quinnipiac 10/29 35% 58%
        Keystone Poll 10/29 34% 59%
        Rasmussen 10/30 38% 56%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Head-to head polls 21.8 80% 17.4
        Incumbent approval 18 15% 2.7
        State partisanship 2.5 5% 0.1

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projectioin Rendell +20.3 Strong DEM Hold
        November 1, 2006 Rendell +20.6 Strong DEM Hold
        October 30, 2006 Rendell +20.1 Strong DEM Hold
        October 25, 2006 Rendell +18.3 Strong DEM Hold
        October 24, 2006 Rendell +17.4 Strong DEM Hold
        October 23, 2006 Rendell +17.1 Strong DEM Hold
        October 19, 2006 Rendell +17.8 Strong DEM Hold
        October 10, 2006 Rendell +18.3 Strong DEM Hold
        October 2, 2006 Rendell +19.3 Strong DEM Hold
        September 28, 2006 Rendell +19.4 Strong DEM Hold
        September 27, 2006 Rendell +19.8 Strong DEM Hold
        September 25, 2006 Rendell +20.9 Strong DEM Hold
        September 22, 2006 Rendell +18.3 Strong DEM Hold
        September 21, 2006 Rendell +15.1 Strong DEM Hold
        August 28, 2006 Rendell +14.4 Mod DEM Hold
        August 27, 2006 Rendell +14.1 Mod DEM Hold
        August 17, 2006 Rendell +15.0 Strong DEM Hold
        August 16, 2006 Rendell +15.9 Strong DEM Hold
        August 7, 2006 Rendell +16.1 Strong DEM Hold
        August 3, 2006 Rendell +15.7 Strong DEM Hold
        July 23, 2006 Rendell +16.3 Strong DEM Hold
        July 20, 2006 Rendell +15.8 Strong DEM Hold
        Preliminary ----- Weak DEM Hold

    Competitive House Races

    District 6

    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Jim Gerlach is running for a 3rd term in 2006.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jim Gerlach - Incumbent  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Lois Murphy - Attorney  
  • Mike Leibowitz - Attorney

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Lois Murphy +1.0 - DEM pick-up

    Pundit Predictions

      Pundit Date Prediction
        Stuart Rothenberg   10/13 Toss-up
        Charlie Cook 06/29 Toss-up
        Larry Sabato 08/14 Murphy by 4 (Lean DEM)
        Congressional Quarterly 07/14 Toss-up

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Gerlach Murphy
        Constituent Dynamics 10/26 46% 51%
        GarinHartYoung (D) 10/23 44% 47%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Pundit predictions -1.0 45% -0.5
        Head-to-head polls** -1.0 50% -0.5
        District partisanship -0.5 5% -0.03
        ** - partisan polls adjusted by 3%

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projection Murphy +1.0 Weak DEM Gain
        October 31, 2006 Murphy +1.0 Weak DEM Gain
        October 27, 2006 Gerlach +0.03 Weak GOP Hold
        October 16, 2006 Murphy +0.2 Weak DEM Gain
        October 14, 2006 Murphy +0.7 Weak DEM Gain
        September 28, 2006 Murphy +0.4 Weak DEM Gain
        September 19, 2006 Murphy +0.1 Weak DEM Gain
        September 7, 2006 Murphy +2.3 Weak DEM Gain
        August 14, 2006 Murphy +1.5 Weak DEM Gain
        August 9, 2006 Murphy +0.8 Weak DEM Gain
        July 20, 2006 Murphy +0.7 Weak DEM Gain
        Preliminary ----- Weak GOP Hold

    District 7

    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Curt Weldon is up for a 10th term 2006.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Curt Weldon - Incumbent  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Joseph Sestak - Navy Admiral  

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Joseph Sestak +2.0 - DEM pick-up

    Pundit Predictions

      Pundit Date Prediction
        Stuart Rothenberg   10/21 Sestak by 4 (Leans DEM)
        Charlie Cook 10/07 Toss-up
        Larry Sabato 10/21 Sestak by 4 (Leans DEM)
        Congressional Quarterly 10/21 Sestak by 4 (Leans DEM)

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Weldon Sestak
        Beneson Strategies(D) 10/27 43% 50%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Pundit predictions -3.0 70% -2.1
        Head-to-head polls** -1.0 25% -0.3
        District partisanship 6.5 5% 0.3
        ** - partisan polls adjusted by 3%

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projection Sestak +2.0 Weak DEM Gain
        October 27, 2006 Sestak +2.0 Weak DEM Gain
        October 21, 2006 Sestak +3.1 Weak DEM Gain
        October 16, 2006 Sestak +1.9 Weak DEM Gain
        October 13, 2006 Sestak +1.3 Weak DEM Gain
        October 7, 2006 Weldon +1.8 Weak GOP Hold
        September 29, 2006 Weldon +3.1 Weak GOP Hold
        September 18, 2006 Weldon +8.0 Mod GOP Hold
        August 9, 2006 Weldon +4.3 Weak GOP Hold
        Preliminary ----- possibly competitive

    District 8

    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Michael Fitzpatrick seeks a second term 2006.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Michael Fitzpatrick - Incumbent  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Patrick Murphy- Iraq War Veteran  

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Michael Fitzpatrick +2.0

    Pundit Predictions

      Pundit Date Prediction
        Stuart Rothenberg   10/27 Toss-up
        Charlie Cook 06/29 Toss-up
        Larry Sabato 11/06 Fitzpatrick by 2 (Tilts GOP)
        Congressional Quarterly 08/9 Toss-up

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Fitzpatrick Murphy
        Global Strategies 10/30 41% 46%
        Morning Call 10/27 47% 42%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Pundit predictions 0.5 45% 0.2
        Head-to-head polls** 3.0 50% 1.5
        District partisanship 6.5 5% 0.3
        ** - partisan polls adjusted by 3%

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projection Fitzpatrick +2.0 Weak GOP Hold
        November 2, 2006 Fitzpatrick +2.2 Weak GOP Hold
        November 1, 2006 Fitzpatrick +1.2 Weak GOP Hold
        October 31, 2006 Fitzpatrick +2.2 Weak GOP Hold
        October 27, 2006 Fitzpatrick +3.4 Weak GOP Hold
        October 21, 2006 Fitzpatrick +1.8 Weak GOP Hold
        October 17, 2006 Fitzpatrick +3.2 Weak GOP Hold
        October 16, 2006 Fitzpatrick +7.1 Mod GOP Hold
        September 22, 2006 Fitzpatrick +7.1 Mod GOP Hold
        September 7, 2006 Fitzpatrick +5.6 Mod GOP Hold
        August 9, 2006 Fitzpatrick +4.7 Weak GOP Hold
        Preliminary ----- possibly competitive

    District 10

    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Don Sherwood seeks a fifth term 2006.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Don Sherwood - Incumbent  

    Democrat Candidates

  • Chris Carney  

    Party nominee -

    Election Projection:  Chris Carney +4.9 - DEM pick-up

    Pundit Predictions

      Pundit Date Prediction
        Stuart Rothenberg   10/13 Carney by 4 (Leans DEM)
        Charlie Cook 10/06 Toss-up
        Larry Sabato 10/13 Carney by 4 (Lean DEM)
        Congressional Quarterly 11/01 Carney by 4 (Lean DEM)

    Polling Data

      Polling Firm    Date Sherwood Carney
        Lycoming College 10/26 38% 47%
        Keystone Poll 10/23 39% 48%

    Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party

      Index    Raw value Weight Factor
        Pundit predictions -3.0 45% -1.4
        Head-to-head polls -9.0 50% -4.5
        District partisanship 20.0 5% 1.0
        ** - partisan polls adjusted by 3%

    Projection History

      Date    Projection Rating
        Final Projection Carney +4.9 Weak DEM Gain
        November 1, 2006 Carney +4.9 Weak DEM Gain
        October 27, 2006 Carney +4.4 Weak DEM Gain
        October 26, 2006 Carney +4.2 Weak DEM Gain
        October 16, 2006 Carney +3.9 Weak DEM Gain
        October 13, 2006 Carney +3.5 Weak DEM Gain
        October 9, 2006 Carney +1.9 Weak DEM Gain
        October 4, 2006 Carney +1.4 Weak DEM Gain
        September 7, 2006 Sherwood +1.7 Weak GOP Hold
        Preliminary ----- possibly competitive

    Last Minute Competitive House Races

  • District 4:  Melissa Hart(R)-inc vs. Jason Altmire (D)
              Election Projection:  Melissa Hart +3.6

    Other House Races

    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Bob Brady (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 2:  Chaka Fattah (D)-inc vs. Michael Gessner (R)
  • District 3:  Phil English (R)-inc vs. Steven Porter (D)
  • District 5:  John Peterson (R)-inc vs. Donald Hilliard (D)
  • District 9:  Bill Shuster (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 11:  Paul Kanjourski (D)-inc vs. Joseph Leonardi (R)
  • District 12:  John Murtha (D)-inc vs. Diana Irey (R)
  • District 13:  Allyson Schwartz (D)-inc vs. Raj Peter Bhakta(R)
  • District 14:  Mike Doyle (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 15:  Charlie Dent (R)-inc vs. Charles Dertinger (D)
  • District 16:  Joseph Pitts (R)-inc vs. Lois Kathryn Herr (D)
  • District 17:  Tim Holden (D)-inc vs. Matthew Wertz (R)
  • District 18:  Tim Murphy (R)-inc vs. Chad Kluko (D)
  • District 19:  Todd Platts (R)-inc vs. Phil Avillo, Jr. (D)

    Election Timeline

  • March 7, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • May 16, 2006 - Primary elections
  • November 7, 2006 - Election day

    Current Partisan Breakdown

      National Delegation
        Senators 2 GOP
        Representatives 12 GOP, 7 DEM
      State Government
        Governor DEM
        Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
        State Senate - GOP control 30 GOP, 20 DEM
        State House - GOP control 109 GOP,92 DEM,2 vacant

    Current Office Holders

  • Governor:  Ed Rendell (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
  • Lt. Governor:  Catherine Knoll (D) - 1st term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Arlen Spector (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Rick Santorum (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2006
  • House District 1:  Bob Brady (D) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Chaka Fattah (D) - 6th term
  • House District 3:  Phil English (R) - 6th term
  • House District 4:  Melissa Hart(R) - 3rd term
  • House District 5:  John Peterson (R) - 5th term
  • House District 6:  Jim Gerlach (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 7:  Curt Weldon (R) - 10th term
  • House District 8:  Michael Fitzpatrick (R) - 1st term
  • House District 9:  Bill Shuster (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 10:  Don Sherwood (R) - 4th term
  • House District 11:  Paul Kanjourski (D) - 11th term
  • House District 12:  John Murtha (D) - 17th term
  • House District 13:  Allyson Schwartz (D) - 1st term
  • House District 14:  Mike Doyle (D) - 6th term
  • House District 15:  Charlie Dent (R) - 1st term
  • House District 16:  Joseph Pitts (R) - 5th term
  • House District 17:  Tim Holden (D) - 7th term
  • House District 18:  Tim Murphy (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 19:  Todd Platts (R) - 3rd term

    Tour The 50 States

    Next Stop:      Rhode Island
    Previous Stop:  Oregon

    Special Thanks to...

    Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
    Congressional Quarterly
    The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
    The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
    DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
    RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre

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    2004 Projection Results


    2006 Projections
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