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Utah
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Hatch +24 (down 2) - 10/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Hatch +26 (unchanged) - 10/07/06
Sen: Dan Jones: Hatch 62%, Ashdown 25% - 10/04/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Hatch +26 (up 5) - 08/18/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Hatch +21 (up 1) - 07/26/06
Sen: Dan Jones: Hatch 63%, Ashdown 21% - 07/26/06
Tracking initiated - 07/15/06
Conservative Ranking
Utah is the most conservative state, voting 43.1% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Utah is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Utah ranks 4th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: 5-time GOP incumbent Orrin Hatch is up for re-election in 2006. He faced only token primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Orrin Hatch - Incumbent 
Brian Jenkins
Ronald Levine
Michael Ridgway
Lawrence Topham
Democrat Candidates
Pete Ashdown - Businessman
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Orrin Hatch +35.5
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Hatch |
Ashdown |
| Dan Jones |
10/04 |
62% |
25% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
37.0 |
80% |
29.6 |
| Incumbent approval |
24 |
15% |
3.6 |
| State partisanship |
45.5 |
5% |
2.3 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Hatch +35.5 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Hatch +35.5 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 4, 2006 |
Hatch +35.8 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 18, 2006 |
Hatch +39.8 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 31, 2006 |
Hatch +39.0 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 15, 2006 |
Hatch +38.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Governor's Race
No race in 2006
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Rob Bishop (R)-inc vs. Steven Olsen (D)
District 2: Jim Matheson (D)-inc vs. LaVar Christensen (R)
District 3: Christopher Cannon (R)-inc vs. Christian Burridge (D)
Election Timeline
March 17, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 27, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
2 GOP, 1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
21 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
56 GOP, 19 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: John Huntsman, Jr. (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Lt. Governor: Gary Herbert (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Orrin Hatch (R) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2006
Junior Senator: Bob Bennett (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Rob Bishop (R) - 2nd term
House District 2: Jim Matheson (D) - 3rd term
House District 3: Christopher Cannon (R) - 5th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Vermont
Previous Stop: Texas
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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