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Wyoming
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Thomas +32 (down 4) - 10/27/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Freudenthal +47 (up 4) - 10/23/06
Sen: Mason-Dixon: Thomas 67%, Radnofsky 26% - 10/18/06
Gov: Mason-Dixon: Freudenthal 63%, Hunkins 30% - 10/16/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Freudenthal +43 (up 4) - 09/25/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Thomas +36 (up 6) - 10/07/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Freudenthal +43 (up 4) - 09/25/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Freudenthal +39 (up 1) - 08/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Thomas +30 (down 3) - 08/18/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Thomas +33 (up 10) - 07/26/06
Sen: Rasmussen: Thomas 59%, Radnofsky 32% - 07/20/06
Primary winners posted - 08/24/06
Tracking initiated - 07/18/06
Conservative Ranking
Wyoming is the 2nd most conservative state, voting 37.3% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Wyoming is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
Wyoming ranks FIRST among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: Second-termer Craig Thomas seeks a third in 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Craig Thomas - Incumbent 
Democrat Candidates
Dale Groutage - Engineer
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Craig Thomas +39.6
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Thomas |
Groutage |
| Mason-Dixon |
10/18 |
67% |
26% |
Projection Data
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
41.0 |
80% |
32.8 |
| Incumbent approval |
32 |
15% |
4.8 |
| State partisanship |
39.8 |
5% |
2.0 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Thomas +39.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Thomas +39.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 18, 2006 |
Thomas +40.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 7, 2006 |
Thomas +29.0 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 18, 2006 |
Thomas +28.1 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 31, 2006 |
Thomas +28.6 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 20, 2006 |
Thomas +27.0 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Governor's Race
Incumbent: Democrat Dave Freudenthal is seeking re-election for the first time in 2006. He faced only token primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Raymond Hunkins - Attoney
John Self
Democrat Candidates
Dave Freudenthal - Incumbent
Al Hamburg
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Dave Freudenthal +31.5
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Hunkins |
Freudenthal |
| Mason-Dixon |
10/16 |
30% |
63% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
33.0 |
80% |
26.4 |
| Incumbent approval |
47 |
15% |
7.1 |
| State partisanship |
-39.8 |
5% |
-2.0 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Freudenthal +31.5 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Freudenthal +31.5 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 16, 2006 |
Freudenthal +30.9 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Freudenthal +27.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Freudenthal +27.1 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 24, 2006 |
Freudenthal +26.9 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Hold |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Barbara Cubin (R)-inc vs. Gary Trauner (D) - possible competitive race
Election Timeline
June 2, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 22, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
1 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - GOP control |
23 GOP, 7 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
46 GOP, 14 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Dave Freudenthal (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
Senior Senator: Craig Thomas (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2006
Junior Senator: Mike Enzi (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: Barbara Cubin (R) - 6th term
Tour The 50 States
Previous Stop: Wisconsin
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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