It’s time to start the engines here at EP for another run around the circle.
Welcome to Election Projection
Since late 2003, Election Projection has been in the business of projecting the upcoming elections. Here you’ll find data-driven calculations that gauge the status of all Senate, House and gubernatorial elections on tap for 2018. Once the nominees are known, Election Projection employs a proprietary formula to arrive at a projection for all the races covered here. This election cycle, I’m currently tracking 148 races, and that number might climb as more House races are deemed competitive between now and Election Day.
Rather than a prediction of the outcome, the projections you find here serve to tell who would be expected to win if the elections were held today. As the election nears, my numbers become more predictive in nature. And history bears out the accuracy of my methodology. Over the last seven election cycles, Election Projection has correctly named the winner in 96.6% of the 3,161 races called. In addition, unlike many prognosticators, I refuse to cop out on any race. You’ll never see a “toss-up” rating here.
Since public opinion polls are an integral part of the projections, EP also publishes a vast assortment of polls. Updated multiple times each day except Sunday, Election Projection’s latest polls are a valuable resource as well for those seeking every last bit of info on the important races of the cycle. I hope you enjoy perusing the polls for the races you are most interested in.
Thank you for stopping by. Since you’re here, you probably share my interest in politics – and especially election outcomes. Take a look around. I hope find Election Projection to be just the kind of online repository you’re looking for. It is, after all, “the original election projection website.”
Whether you are a conservative Republican or a liberal Democrat, you can count on the objectivity of EP’s projections. I am staunchly conservative in ideology, but I am just as staunchly objective when it comes to calculating election winners. Through the years, whether a red wave was on the horizon or a blue year was in the offing, EP has earned a reputation of telling it like it is. That’s my commitment to all my readers. I will never fudge the numbers here – even when I don’t like the outcome they project.