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California  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking

California is the 8th least conservative state, voting 12.4% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend

Based on voting patterns since 1992, California is trending DEMOCRAT.

GOP Trend Ranking

California ranks 42nd among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House

GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

    •  

    Senate Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
     

    District 4
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent John Doolittle is retiring after his 9th term in 2009.  He is not seeking re-election.

    GOP Candidates

  • Tom McClintock - California State Senator  

    DEM Candidates

  • Charlie Brown - Former Congressional Nominee  

    Party nominee -

    •  

    District 11
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Jerry McNerney is seeking re-election for the first time in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Dean Andal - Former California State Assemblyman  
  • Alan Nakanishi - California State Assemblyman
  • Jill Buck
  • Brent Jones

    DEM Candidates

  • Jerry McNerney - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

    •  

    District 50
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Brian Bilbray is seeking a third term in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Brian Bilbray - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Nick Leibham  

    Party nominee -

    • Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Michael Thompson (D)-inc vs. Zack Starkewolf (R)
  • District 2:  Wally Herger (R)-inc vs. Jeff Morris (D)
  • District 3:  Daniel Lungren (R)-inc vs. Bill Durston (D)
  • District 5:  Doris Matsui (D)-inc vs. Paul Smith (R)
  • District 6:  Lynn Woolsey (D)-inc vs. Michael Halliwell (R)
  • District 7:  George Miller (D)-inc vs. Roger Petersen (R)
  • District 8:  Nancy Pelosi (D)-inc vs. Dana Walsh (R)
  • District 9:  Barbara Lee (D)-inc vs. Charles Hargrave (R)
  • District 10:  Ellen Tauscher (D)-inc vs. Nicholas Gerber (R)
  • District 12:  OPEN: Jackie Speier (D) vs. Greg Colon (R)
  • District 13:  Pete Stark (D)-inc vs. Raymond Chui (R)
  • District 14:  Anna Eshoo (D)-inc vs. Ronny Santana (R)
  • District 15:  Michael Honda (D)-inc vs. Joyce Stoer (R)
  • District 16:  Zoe Lofgren (D)-inc vs. Charel Winston (R)
  • District 17:  Sam Farr (D)-inc vs. Jeff Taylor (R)
  • District 18:  Dennis Cardoza (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 19:  George Radanovich (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 20:  Jim Costa (D)-inc vs. Jim Lopez (R)
  • District 21:  Devin Nunes (R)-inc vs. Larry Johnson (D)
  • District 22:  Kevin McCarthy (R)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 23:  Lois Capps (D)-inc vs. Matt Kokkonen (R)
  • District 24:  Elton Gallegly (R)-inc vs. Marta Jorgensen (D)
  • District 25:  Buck McKeon (R)-inc vs. Jacquese Conaway (D)
  • District 26:  David Dreier (R)-inc vs. Russell Warner (D)
  • District 27:  Brad Sherman (D)-inc vs. Navraj Singh (R)
  • District 28:  Howard Berman (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 29:  Adam Schiff (D)-inc vs. Charles Hahn (R)
  • District 30:  Henry Waxman (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 31:  Xavier Becerra (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 32:  Hilda Solis (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 33:  Diane Watson (D)-inc vs. David Crowley, II (R)
  • District 34:  Lucille Royball-Allard (D)-inc vs. Christopher Balding (R)
  • District 35:  Maxine Waters (D)-inc vs. Ted Hayes (R)
  • District 36:  Jane Harman (D)-inc vs. Brian Gibson (R)
  • District 37:  OPEN: Laura Richardson (D)  (unopposed)
  • District 38:  Grace Napolitano (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 39:  Linda Sanchez (D)-inc vs. Diane Lenning (R)
  • District 40:  Edward Royce (R)-inc vs. Christina Avalos (D)
  • District 41:  Jerry Lewis (R)-inc vs. Tim Prince (D)
  • District 42:  Gary Miller (R)-inc vs. Edwin Chau (D)
  • District 43:  Joe Baca (D)-inc vs. Scott Folkens (R)
  • District 44:  Kenneth Calvert (R)-inc vs. Bill Hedrick (D)
  • District 45:  Mary Bono Mack (R)-inc vs. Julie Bornstein (D)
  • District 46:  Dana Rohrabacher (R)-inc vs. Debbie Cook (D)
  • District 47:  Loretta Sanchez (D)-inc vs. Rosie Avila (R)
  • District 48:  John Campbell (R)-inc vs. Steve Young (D)
  • District 49:  Darrell Issa (R)-inc vs. Robert Hamilton (D)
  • District 51:  Bob Filner (D)-inc vs. David Lee Joy (R)
  • District 52:  Duncan Hunter (R) vs. Mike Lumpkin (D)
  • District 53:  Susan Davis (D)-inc vs. Michael Crimmins (R)
    •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline

  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • March 7, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day

    • Current Partisan Breakdown
     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 19 GOP, 33 DEM, 1 vacant
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 15 GOP, 25 DEM
      State House - DEM control 32 GOP, 48 DEM

    Current Office Holders

  • Governor:  Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  John Garamendi (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Senior Senator:  Dianne Feinstein (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2012
  • Junior Senator:  Barbara Boxer (D) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2010
  • House District 1:  Michael Thompson (D) - 5th term
  • House District 2:  Wally Herger (R) - 11th term
  • House District 3:  Daniel Lungren (R) - 7th term
  • House District 4:  John Doolittle (R) - 9th term (retiring)
  • House District 5:  Doris Matsui (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 6:  Lynn Woolsey (D) - 8th term
  • House District 7:  George Miller (D) - 17th term
  • House District 8:  Nancy Pelosi (D) - 11th term
  • House District 9:  Barbara Lee (D) - 5th term
  • House District 10:  Ellen Tauscher (D) - 6th term
  • House District 11:  Jerry McNerney (D) - 1st term
  • House District 12:  Tom Lantos (D) - 14th term (retiring)
  • House District 13:  Pete Stark (D) - 18th term
  • House District 14:  Anna Eshoo (D) - 8th term
  • House District 15:  Michael Honda (D) - 4th term
  • House District 16:  Zoe Lofgren (D) - 7th term
  • House District 17:  Sam Farr (D) - 8th term
  • House District 18:  Dennis Cardoza (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 19:  George Radanovich (R) - 7th term
  • House District 20:  Jim Costa (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 21:  Devin Nunes (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 22:  Kevin McCarthy (R) - 1st term
  • House District 23:  Lois Capps (D) - 5th term
  • House District 24:  Elton Gallegly (R) - 12th term
  • House District 25:  Buck McKeon (R) - 8th term
  • House District 26:  David Dreier (R) - 14th term
  • House District 27:  Brad Sherman (D) - 6th term
  • House District 28:  Howard Berman (D) - 13th term
  • House District 29:  Adam Schiff (D) - 4th term
  • House District 30:  Henry Waxman (D) - 17th term
  • House District 31:  Xavier Becerra (D) - 8th term
  • House District 32:  Hilda Solis (D) - 4th term
  • House District 33:  Diane Watson (D) - 4th term
  • House District 34:  Lucille Royball-Allard (D) - 8th term
  • House District 35:  Maxine Waters (D) - 9th term
  • House District 36:  Jane Harman (D) - 4th term
  • House District 37:  vacant
         Juanita Millender-McDonald (D) died on April 22, 2007 during her 7th term.
  • House District 38:  Grace Napolitano (D) - 5th term
  • House District 39:  Linda Sanchez (D) - 3rd term
  • House District 40:  Edward Royce (R) - 7th term
  • House District 41:  Jerry Lewis (R) - 15th term
  • House District 42:  Gary Miller (R) - 5th term
  • House District 43:  Joe Baca (D) - 5th term
  • House District 44:  Kenneth Calvert (R) - 8th term
  • House District 45:  Mary Bono (R) - 5th term
  • House District 46:  Dana Rohrabacher (R) - 10th term
  • House District 47:  Loretta Sanchez (D) - 6th term
  • House District 48:  John Campbell (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 49:  Darrell Issa (R) - 4th term
  • House District 50:  Brian Bilbray (R) - 2nd term
  • House District 51:  Bob Filner (D) - 8th term
  • House District 52:  Duncan Hunter (R) - 14th term
  • House District 53:  Susan Davis (D) - 4th term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot

    		•
     
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result
    President Strong DEM -- Mod DEM --
    Senate
    Class 1 Solid DEM -- -- Solid DEM
    Class 3 -- -- Solid DEM --
    Governor -- Mod DEM -- Solid GOP
    House 20 GOP - 32 DEM 20 GOP - 33 DEM 20 GOP - 33 DEM 19 GOP - 34 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Weak GOP
    CD-5 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-6 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-7 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-8 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-9 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-10 Mod DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-11 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Mod DEM
    CD-12 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-13 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-14 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-15 Strong DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-16 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-17 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-18 Solid DEM Mod DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-19 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-20 Mod DEM Solid DEM Mod DEM Solid DEM
    CD-21 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-22 Mod DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-23 Strong GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-24 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-25 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-26 Solid DEM Solid GOP Strong GOP Solid GOP
    CD-27 Mod DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-28 Solid GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-29 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-30 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-31 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-32 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-33 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-34 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-35 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-36 Weak DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-37 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-38 Weak GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-39 Solid GOP Strong DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-40 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-41 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-42 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-43 Solid GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-44 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-45 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-46 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-47 Solid GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-48 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-49 Weak DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-50 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP
    CD-51 Solid GOP Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-52 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-53 NA Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
    •  

    California Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    No race
    Governor
    No race
    House District 4 (open)
    Tom McClintock
    vs
    Charlie Brown
    Projected Winner
    House District 11
    Jerry McNerney - inc
    vs
    Dean Andal
    Projected Winner
    House District 50
    Brian Bilbray - inc
    vs
    Nick Leibham
    Projected Winner
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political

     Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics

     D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report

     Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas

     Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball

     Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics
    Election Projection Resources
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