Premium Pages

President
Senate
Governors
House



 
Michigan  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Michigan is the 16th least conservative state, voting 5.9% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Michigan is trending DEMOCRAT.

GOP Trend Ranking


Michigan ranks 33rd among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Carl Levin seeks a 6th term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Jack Hoogendyk - Michigan State Representative  
  • Bart Baron - Former Congressional Nominee

    DEM Candidates

  • Carl Levin - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 7
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Tim Walberg is running for re-election for the first time in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Tim Walberg - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Mark Schauer - Michigan State Senator  
  • Sharon Marie Renier - Former Congressional Nominee

    Party nominee -

  •  
    District 9
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Joseph Knollenberg is running for a 9th term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Joseph Knollenberg - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Gary Peters - Former Michigan State Senator  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Bart Stupak (D)-inc vs. Tom Casperson (R)
  • District 2:  Peter Hoekstra (R)-inc vs. Fred Johnson, III (D)
  • District 3:  Vernon Ehlers (R)-inc vs. Henry Sanchez (D)
  • District 4:  Dave Lee Camp (R)-inc vs. Andrew Concannon (D)
  • District 5:  Dale Kildee? (D)-inc vs. Matt Sawicki (R)
  • District 6:  Fred Upton (R)-inc vs. Don Cooney (D)
  • District 8:  Michael Rogers (R)-inc vs. Robert Alexander (D)
  • District 10:  Candice Miller (R)-inc vs. Robert Denison (D)
  • District 11:  Thad McCotter (R)-inc vs. Joseph Larkin (D)
  • District 12:  Sandy Levin (D)-inc vs. Bert Copple (R)
  • District 13:  Carolyn Kilpatrick (D)-inc vs. Edward Gubics (R)
  • District 14:  John Conyers Jr. (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 15:  John Dingell (D)-inc vs. John Lynch (R)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • January 15, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • May 13, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 5, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 9 GOP, 6 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - GOP control 21 GOP, 17 DEM
      State House - DEM control 52 GOP, 58 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jennifer Granholm (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
  • Lt. Governor:  John Cherry (D) - 2nd term, tied to Governor
  • Senior Senator:  Carl Levin (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Debbie Stabenow (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Bart Stupak (D) - 8th term
  • House District 2:  Peter Hoekstra (R) - 8th term
  • House District 3:  Vernon Ehlers (R) - 8th term
  • House District 4:  Dave Lee Camp (R) - 9th term
  • House District 5:  Dale Kildee (D) - 16th term
  • House District 6:  Fred Upton (R) - 11th term
  • House District 7:  Tim Walberg (R) - 1st term
  • House District 8:  Michael Rogers (R) - 4th term
  • House District 9:  Joseph Knollenberg (R) - 8th term
  • House District 10:  Candice Miller (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 11:  Thad McCotter (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 12:  Sandy Levin (D) - 13th term
  • House District 13:  Carolyn Kilpatrick (D) - 6th term
  • House District 14:  John Conyers Jr. (D) - 22nd term
  • House District 15:  John Dingell (D) - 27th term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Weak DEM -- Weak DEM --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak DEM -- -- Solid DEM
    Class 2 -- Solid DEM -- --

    Governor -- Weak DEM -- Strong DEM

    House 7 GOP - 9 DEM 9 GOP - 6 DEM 9 GOP - 6 DEM 9 GOP - 6 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-5 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-6 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Mod GOP
    CD-8 Weak GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP
    CD-9 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Mod GOP
    CD-10 Solid DEM Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-11 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP
    CD-12 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-13 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-14 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-15 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-16 Solid DEM NA NA NA

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Michigan Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Carl Levin - inc
    vs
    Jack Hoogendyk
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    No race
    House District 7
    Tim Walberg - inc
    vs
    Mark Schauer
    Projected Winner
    House District 9
    Joseph Knollenberg - inc
    vs
    Gary Peters
    Projected Winner
    State-by-State

    Alabama
    Alaska
    Arizona
    Arkansas
    California
    Colorado
    Connecticut
    Delaware
    Florida
    Georgia
    Hawaii
    Idaho
    Illinois
    Indiana
    Iowa
    Kansas
    Kentucky
    Louisiana
    Maine
    Maryland
    Massachusetts
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Mississippi
    Missouri

    Montana
    Nebraska
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    New York
    North Carolina
    North Dakota
    Ohio
    Oklahoma
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Rhode Island
    South Carolina
    South Dakota
    Tennessee
    Texas
    Utah
    Vermont
    Virginia
    Washington
    West Virginia
    Wisconsin
    Wyoming
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
    Add this picture to your website

    updated daily

    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    2006 Projection Results

    2004 Projection Results

    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    thebloggingcaesar
    @electionprojection.com
    Other Resources

    Election Projection Formulas

    Devotional Messages

    Election Projection Polls
    Tour the Fifty States

    Next Stop: Minnesota

    Previous Stop: Massachusetts
     
    ©Copyright 2008 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved