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Missouri  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Missouri is the 25th most conservative state, voting 4.7% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Missouri is trending REPUBLICAN.

GOP Trend Ranking


Missouri ranks 17th among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Governor's Race
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Matt Blunt is retiring in 2008 after just one term.

    GOP Candidates

  • Kenny Hulshof - U.S. Representative from Missouri  
  • Sarah Steelman - Missouri State Treasurer

    DEM Candidates

  • Jay Nixon - Missouri Attorney General  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Competitive House Races

    District 6
    Incumbent:  GOP incumbent Samuel Graves, Jr. seeks a 5th term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Samuel Graves, Jr. - Incumbent  

    DEM Candidates

  • Kay Barnes - Former Mayor of Kansas City  
  • Ali Allon Sherkat

    Party nominee -

  •  

    District 9
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Kenny Hulshof running for governor in 2008 and will not seek a 7th term in Congress.

    GOP Candidates

  • Blaine Luetkemeyer - Former Missouri State Representative  
  • Danielle Moore - Missouri State Representative
  • Robert Onder - Missouri State Representative
  • Brock Olivo - Former Football Player
  • Dan Bishir

    DEM Candidates

  • Judy Baker - Missouri State Representative  
  • Ken Jacob - Former Missouri State Senator
  • Steve Gaw - Former Missouri Speaker of the House
  • Lyndon Bode - Marion County Commissioner

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  Lacy Clay Jr. (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 2:  Todd Akin (R)-inc vs. William Haas (D)
  • District 3:  Russ Carnahan (D)-inc vs. Chris Sander (R)
  • District 4:  Ike Skelton (D)-inc vs. Jeff Parnell (R)
  • District 5:  Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D)-inc vs. Jacob Turk (R)
  • District 7:  Roy Blunt (R)-inc vs. Richard Monroe (D)
  • District 8:  Jo Ann Emerson (R)-inc vs. Joe Allen (D)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • March 25, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • August 5, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 1 GOP, 1 DEM
      Representatives 5 GOP, 4 DEM
    State Government
      Governor GOP
      Lt. Governor GOP
      State Senate - GOP control 20 GOP, 14 DEM
      State House - GOP control 92 GOP, 71 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Matt Blunt- 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2008
  • Lt. Governor:  Peter Kinder - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Senior Senator:  Kit Bond - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
  • Junior Senator:  Claire McCaskill - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Lacy Clay Jr. (D) - 4th term
  • House District 2:  Todd Akin (R) - 4th term
  • House District 3:  Russ Carnahan (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 4:  Ike Skelton (D) - 16th term
  • House District 5:  Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) - 2nd term
  • House District 6:  Samuel Graves, Jr. (R) - 4th term
  • House District 7:  Roy Blunt (R) - 6th term
  • House District 8:  Jo Ann Emerson (R) - 6th term
  • House District 9:  Kenny Hulshof (R) - 6th term (running for Governor)

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Weak GOP -- Mod GOP --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak DEM Weak GOP -- Weak DEM
    Class 3 -- -- Strong GOP --

    Governor Weak DEM -- Weak GOP --

    House 6 GOP - 3 DEM 5 GOP - 4 DEM 5 GOP - 4 DEM 5 GOP - 4 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Strong GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-3 Solid DEM Solid DEM Mod DEM Solid DEM
    CD-4 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-5 Solid GOP Solid DEM Strong DEM Solid DEM
    CD-6 Weak GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-7 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-8 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-9 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP

    BOLD - party turnover
    Party changes not bolded resulted from redistricting before the 2002 election.
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Missouri Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    No race
    Governor (open)
    Kenny Hulshof
    vs
    Jay Nixon
    Projected Winner
    House District 6
    Sam Graves
    vs
    Kay Barnes
    Projected Winner
    House District 9 (open)
    Blaine Luetkemeyer
    vs
    Judy Baker
    Projected Winner
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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