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Montana  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


Montana is the 13th most conservative state, voting 18.0% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, Montana is trending REPUBLICAN.

GOP Trend Ranking


Montana ranks 13th among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  DEM incumbent Max Baucus seeks a 6th term in 2008.  He faced no primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Bob Kelleher  
  • Michael Lange - Montana State Representative
  • Kirk Bushman
  • Shay Garnett
  • Anton Pearson
  • Patty Lovaas

    DEM Candidates

  • Max Baucus - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Governor's Race
    Incumbent:  First-term DEM incumbent Brian Schweitzer is running for re-election in 2008.  He faced no serious primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Roy Brown - Montana State Senator  
  • Larry Steele

    DEM Candidates

  • Brian Schweitzer - Incumbent  
  • William Fischer
  • Don Porgreba

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Competitive House Races
    No competitive races in 2008
     
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District AL:  Dennis Rehberg (R)-inc vs. John Driscoll (D)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Republican presidential primary
  • March 20, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 3, 2008 - Democratic presidential primary
  • June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 1 GOP
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      Lt. Governor - tied to Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 24 GOP, 26 DEM
      State House - GOP control 50 GOP, 49 DEM, 1 other

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Brian Schweitzer (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Lt. Governor:  John Bohlinger (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Senior Senator:  Max Baucus (D) - 5th term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Jon Tester (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Dennis Rehberg (R) - 4th term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Solid GOP -- Solid GOP --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak GOP -- -- Weak DEM
    Class 2 -- Solid DEM -- --

    Governor Weak GOP -- Weak DEM --

    House 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP 1 GOP
    CD-1 Mod GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    Montana Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Max Baucus - inc
    vs
    Bob Kelleher
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    Brian Schweitzer - inc
    vs
    Roy Brown
    Projected Winner
    House
    No competitive races
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    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

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