Premium Pages

President
Senate
Governors
House



 
New Jersey  
 
General Information
Latest Polls and Updates

Conservative Ranking


New Jersey is the 13th least conservative state, voting 9.2% less Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.

Partisan Trend


Based on voting patterns since 1992, New Jersey's partisan trend is STEADY.

GOP Trend Ranking


New Jersey ranks 31st among the 50 states.
 
Presidential Race

Race for the White House


GOP Candidates
  • John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona  
  • Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
  • Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
  • Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
  • Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
  • Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
  • Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)

    DEM Candidates

  • Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois  
  • Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
  • Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
  • John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
  • Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
  • Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)

    Party nominee -

  •  

    Senate Race
    Incumbent:  Democratic incumbent Frank Lautenberg is running for a 2nd consecutive term in 2008.  If he wins, it will be his 5th term overall.  He faced no serious primary opposition.

    GOP Candidates

  • Richard Zimmer - Former U.S. Representative from New Jersey  
  • Murray Sabrin
  • Joseph Pennacchio - New Jersey State Senator

    DEM Candidates

  • Frank Lautenberg - Incumbent  

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Governor's Race
    No race in 2008
     
    Competitive House Races
    District 3
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Jim Saxton is retiring at the end of his 12th term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Christopher Myers - Lockheed Martin vice president  
  • John Kelly - Ocean County Councilman
  • Mario Boemia
  • Justin Murphy
  • Suzanne Penna
  • Sam Dogan

    DEM Candidates

  • John Adler - New Jersey State Senator  

    Party nominee -

  •  

    District 7
    OPEN SEAT:  GOP incumbent Mike Ferguson is retiring at the end of his 4th term.  He is not seeking re-election in 2008.

    GOP Candidates

  • Leonard Lance - New Jersey State Senator  
  • Kate Whitman - Daughter of Former Governor Christine Todd Whitman
  • A.D. Amar
  • Chris Venis - Former Hillsborough Deputy Mayor
  • Victor Sordillo - Warren Mayor
  • Tom Roughneen
  • Martin Marks - Scotch Plains Mayor
  • Michael Hsing - Bridgewater Councilor

    DEM Candidates

  • Linda Stender - New Jersey Assemblywoman  
  • Upendra Chivukula - New Jersey Assemblyman

    Party nominee -

  •  
    Other House Races
    Projected winner listed first
  • District 1:  OPEN:  Camille Andrews (D) vs. Dale Glading (R)
  • District 2:  Frank LoBiondo (R)-inc vs. David Kirkowski (D)
  • District 4:  Christopher Smith (R)-inc vs. Joshua Zeitz (D)
  • District 5:  Scott Garrett (R)-inc vs. Dennis Shulman (D)
  • District 6:  Frank Pallone, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Robert McLeod (R)
  • District 8:  Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D)-inc vs. Roland Straten (R)
  • District 9:  Steven Rothman(D)-inc vs. Vince Micco (R)
  • District 10:  Donald Payne (D)-inc  (unopposed)
  • District 11:  Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)-inc vs. Tom Wyka (D)
  • District 12:  Rush Holt (D)-inc vs. Alan Bateman (R)
  • District 13:  Albio Sires (D) vs. Joseph Turula (R)
  •  
    Additional Information

    Election Timeline


  • February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
  • April 7, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
  • June 3, 2008 - Primary elections
  • November 4, 2008 - Election day
  • Current Partisan Breakdown


     
    National Delegation
      Senators 2 DEM
      Representatives 6 GOP, 7 DEM
    State Government
      Governor DEM
      State Senate - DEM control 17 GOP, 23 DEM
      State House - DEM control 32 GOP, 48 DEM

    Current Office Holders


  • Governor:  Jon Corzine (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2009
  • Senior Senator:  Frank Lautenberg (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2008
  • Junior Senator:  Robert Menendez (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2012
  • House District 1:  Robert Andrews (D) - 9th term (running for Senate)
  • House District 2:  Frank LoBiondo (R) - 7th term
  • House District 3:  Jim Saxton (R) - 12th term (retiring)
  • House District 4:  Christopher Smith (R) - 14th term
  • House District 5:  Scott Garrett (R) - 3rd term
  • House District 6:  Frank Pallone, Jr. (D) - 11th term
  • House District 7:  Mike Ferguson (R) - 4th term (retiring)
  • House District 8:  Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D) - 6th term
  • House District 9:  Steven Rothman(D) - 6th term
  • House District 10:  Donald Payne (D) - 10th term
  • House District 11:  Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) - 7th term
  • House District 12:  Rush Holt (D) - 5th term
  • House District 13:  Albio Sires (D) - 1st term

    Historical Partisan Snapshot


  •  
      Race 2000 Result 2002 Result 2004 Result 2006 Result

    President Solid DEM -- Mod DEM --

    Senate
    Class 1 Weak DEM -- -- Mod DEM
    Class 2 -- Strong DEM -- --

    Governor
    (2001-2005)
    Mod DEM -- Strong DEM --

    House 6 GOP - 7 DEM 6 GOP - 7 DEM 6 GOP - 7 DEM 6 GOP - 7 DEM
    CD-1 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-2 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-3 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-4 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-5 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Strong GOP
    CD-6 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-7 Weak GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Weak GOP
    CD-8 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-9 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-10 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-11 Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP Solid GOP
    CD-12 Weak DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM
    CD-13 Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM Solid DEM

    BOLD - party turnover
    Race ratings:
  • "Weak" - less than 5%
  • "Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
  • "Strong" - 10% to 15%
  • "Solid" - greater than 15%
  •  

    New Jersey Race Tracking
    President
    John McCain
    vs
    Barack Obama
    Projected Winner
    Senate
    Frank Lautenberg - inc
    vs
    Richard Zimmer
    Projected Winner
    Governor
    No race
    House District 3 (open)
    Christopher Myers
    vs
    John Adler
    Projected Winner
    House District 7 (open)
    Leonard Lance
    vs
    Linda Stender
    Projected Winner
    State-by-State

    Alabama
    Alaska
    Arizona
    Arkansas
    California
    Colorado
    Connecticut
    Delaware
    Florida
    Georgia
    Hawaii
    Idaho
    Illinois
    Indiana
    Iowa
    Kansas
    Kentucky
    Louisiana
    Maine
    Maryland
    Massachusetts
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Mississippi
    Missouri

    Montana
    Nebraska
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    New York
    North Carolina
    North Dakota
    Ohio
    Oklahoma
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Rhode Island
    South Carolina
    South Dakota
    Tennessee
    Texas
    Utah
    Vermont
    Virginia
    Washington
    West Virginia
    Wisconsin
    Wyoming
    Special Thanks To:

    Charlie Cook
    Cook Political


    Congressional Quarterly
    CQ Politics


    D.C. Finegold Sachs
    DC's Political Report


    Dave Leip
    U.S. Election Atlas


    Larry Sabato
    Crystal Ball


    Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
    RealClearPolitics

    Election Projection Resources
    Add this picture to your website

    updated daily

    EP's RSS Feed

    RSS Feed  RSS
    2006 Projection Results

    2004 Projection Results

    Search this site

    provided by Google
    Contact Me

    e-mail Scott at:
    thebloggingcaesar
    @electionprojection.com
    Other Resources

    Election Projection Formulas

    Devotional Messages

    Election Projection Polls
    Tour the Fifty States

    Next Stop: New Mexico

    Previous Stop: New Hampshire
     
    ©Copyright 2008 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved