Home  Blog  Election Polls  President 2012  Senate 2012  House 2012  Governors 2012  GOP Primaries 2012  Redistricting 2012  Formulas  Results  About me


    "The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection is one of the web's best prognosticators" - Hugh Hewitt

2012 Projections


Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here.  Therefore, I do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown.


April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
November 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
November 2004
October 2004
September 2004
August 2004
July 2004
June 2004
May 2004
April 2004
March 2004
February 2004
January 2004
December 2003

  Politics and Elections
Thursday, July 18, 2013

2013 gubernatorial elections - New Jersey and Virginia
In an oxymoronic twist, New Jersey's Republican Governor Chris Christie is projected to win a second term in the statehouse by a landslide.  After his first victory in 2009, many strategists thought his re-election chances in the deep blue Garden State were doubtful at best.  Then came super storm Sandy and Christie's glowing compliments of President Obama in its aftermath.  (Are those cries of "betrayal" I hear echoing from Republican quarters?)  Now, just over 3 months away from Election Day, the incumbent enjoys 30+ point leads in most recent polls over Democratic nominee, state Senator Barbara Buono.  It's hard to imagine the level of crash Christie would have to experience to be removed from the governor's office.

As one-sided as New Jersey's is, Virginia's gubernatorial contest is just the opposite.  Out-going Republican Governor Bob McConnell, term-limited after just 4 years in office, gave hint of the massive red wave of 2010 by clobbering Democrat Creigh Deeds 59% to 41% 12 months earlier.  This time, no such Republican landslide appears to be in the offing.  Instead, the blue team currently leads this race by a small margin.

Former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe is making a strong play to give Democrats a split in this year's two statehouse races.  Aside from a recent outlier poll from Roanoke College showing Republican nominee Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli with a 6-point edge, McAuliffe holds leads at or just outside the margin of error in all other polls taken over the last several weeks.  Moreover, Virginia's shift leftward over the last several cycles does not mix well with Cuccinelli's social conservatism.  Right now, I'd have to rate this race as a very Weak DEM Gain.  However, the GOP can yet hold this seat by taking advantage of lower voter turnout in off-year elections and President Obama's upside down approval ratings in the state.

<< Previous Politics and Election News Next >>

Special Thanks To:

Charlie Cook
Cook Political

Congressional Quarterly
CQ Politics

D.C. Finegold Sachs
DC's Political Report

Dave Leip
U.S. Election Atlas

David Wissing
The Hedgehog Report

Larry Sabato
Crystal Ball

Richard & Tony
The Green Papers

Rose Institute
Redistricting in America

Tom Bevan and John McIntyre

Election Projection Resources
EP's RSS Feed

Search this site

provided by Google
Contact Me

e-mail Scott at:
gmail <put a period here> com

©Copyright 2003-2013 Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved