When Louisiana Republican Senator David Vitter earned a runoff appointment with Democrat John Bel Edwards, I figured Vitter had withstood all the negative ads offered against him in the run up to the open primary last month. With Edwards below 40% in the final vote count, it seemed likely Vitter would be able to capture the majority of the runoff vote by shifting votes from the two other Republicans in the field.
However, that appears not to be the case. Edwards is crushing Vitter in a University of New Orleans poll released this week. The margin, 22 points, is overwhelming. And it probably will withstand the kind of polling oops we saw in the Kentucky governor election on November 3. As a result, EP is moving the projection for this race from Mod GOP Hold
to Mod DEM Gain
If Edwards does win, the balance of power among governorships will return to its pre-Nov 3 level - 31 Republicans
, 18 Democrats
and 1 Independent
The Bayou State will return to the polls on Saturday, November 21. Be sure to check here for Louisiana governor election results
as the returns come in that evening.
posted by Scott Elliott at 6:59pm 11/12/15 :: link