|I haven't said much about the senate races in this space. But don't think that
means I haven't been following them...intently. Here's my take on how they will play out on Tuesday.
(Again, these predictions come with the same all-important turnout caveat I mentioned in my presidential
predictions post below.) This list is ordered by confidence level.
The first pick is the one of which I'm most sure; the last is my most unsure pick.
Illinois: Democrat pick-up.
Georgia: Republican pick-up.
South Carolina: Republican pick-up.
Louisiana: Republican pick-up.
North Carolina: Republican pick-up.
Florida: Republican pick-up.
South Dakota: Republican pick-up.
Oklahoma: Republican hold.
Alaska: Democrat pick-up.
Colorado: Republican hold.
There you have it - the senate makeup post-election will be 55 GOP, 45 Dems. I know, I know...I'm
just a partisan hack! Seriously, I'll be the first to admit if my turnout perceptions prove to be wrong,
I'm going to have a pretty sorry batting average. If they're right, I'll be feelin' good! Note:
The senate races that aren't listed will all be holds for the incumbent party.
posted by Scott Elliott at 11:35pm 10/31/04 ::