The original election projection website, since 2003
| Democrat Harley Rouda Incumbent |
Republican undetermined |
| Pundit Predictions | ||
|---|---|---|
| Pundit | Date | Rating |
| Charlie Cook | August 02, 2019 | Rouda +4 (Lean DEM) |
| Larry Sabato | August 05, 2019 | Rouda +4 (Lean DEM) |
| Inside Elections | August 16, 2019 | Rouda +4 (Lean DEM) |
| Click here for all California 48th District Pundit Ratings | ||
| No polls available for this race. |
| Projection Calculations | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Raw Value | Weight | Net Value |
| Adjusted pundit ratings | 4.9 | 100% | 4.9 |
| Head-to-head polls | n/a | 0% | n/a |
| Composite Generic | Difference | Offset | Adjustment |
| December 10, 2019 - details | 7.5 | 5.0 | 0.9 |
| Projection History | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Projection | Old Rating | New Rating |
| November 19, 2019 | Rouda +4.9 | Mod DEM Hold | Weak DEM Hold |
| November 16, 2019 | Rouda +5.0 | Weak DEM Hold | Mod DEM Hold |
| September 18, 2019 | Rouda +4.6 | Mod DEM Hold | Weak DEM Hold |
| September 11, 2019 | Rouda +5.6 | Weak DEM Hold | Mod DEM Hold |
| September 06, 2019 | Democrat +4.9 | Mod DEM Hold | Weak DEM Hold |
| Preliminary | -- | -- | Mod DEM Hold |