Election Projection

The original election projection website, since 2003

PRESIDENT

GOP   306   even
DEM   232   even
SENATE

GOP   53   even
DEM   45   even
HOUSE

GOP   195   -5
DEM   240   +6
GOVERNORS

GOP   27   +1
DEM   23   -1
2020 ELECTIONS ON DEMAND
PROJECTIONS
POLLS
Election Day
November 3, 2020

2020 New York 24th District Election

Who is winning the New York 24th District election?
 
All New York Races

Preliminary Projection:  Katko +4.2, Weak GOP Hold
Updated March 27, 2020

Commentary

The Candidates

New York 24th District Election 2020 - John Katko vs. ???
Republican
John Katko
Incumbent		 Democrat
undetermined
Incumbent:  Republican John Katko is seeking re-election in 2020.
Republicans
  • John Katko - Incumbent
Democrats
  • Dana Balter
  • Francis Conole

Projection Data

Preliminary Projection:  John Katko by 4.2%
Pundit Predictions
PunditDateRating
Charlie CookAugust 02, 2019Katko +8 (Likely GOP)
Larry SabatoAugust 05, 2019Katko +4 (Lean GOP)
Inside ElectionsAugust 16, 2019Katko +4 (Lean GOP)
Click here for all New York 24th District Pundit Ratings
No polls available for this race.
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Adjusted pundit ratings4.2100%4.2
Head-to-head pollsn/a0%n/a
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
March 27, 2020 - details 8.34.01.1
Projection History
DateProjectionOld RatingNew Rating
January 31, 2020Katko +4.4Mod GOP HoldWeak GOP Hold
January 15, 2020Katko +5.4Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
November 16, 2019Katko +4.3Mod GOP HoldWeak GOP Hold
November 02, 2019Katko +5.2Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
October 16, 2019Katko +4.6Mod GOP HoldWeak GOP Hold
October 09, 2019Katko +5.1Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
September 06, 2019Republican +4.4--Weak GOP Hold
Preliminary----Weak GOP Hold