Election Projection

The original election projection website, since 2003

PRESIDENT

GOP   231   -75
DEM   307   +75
SENATE

GOP   53   even
DEM   45   even
HOUSE

GOP   203   +3
DEM   232   -2
GOVERNORS

GOP   27   +1
DEM   23   -1
2020 ELECTIONS ON DEMAND
PROJECTIONS
POLLS
Election Day
November 3, 2020

2020 New York 24th District Election

Who is winning the New York 24th District election?
 
All New York Races

Preliminary Projection:  Katko +5.8, Mod GOP Hold
Updated January 24, 2020

Commentary

The Candidates

New York 24th District Election 2020 - John Katko vs. ???
Republican
John Katko
Incumbent		 Democrat
undetermined
Incumbent:  Republican John Katko is seeking re-election in 2020.
Republicans
  • John Katko - Incumbent
Democrats
  • Dana Balter
  • Francis Conole
  • Roger Misso

Projection Data

Preliminary Projection:  John Katko by 5.8%
Pundit Predictions
PunditDateRating
Charlie CookAugust 02, 2019Katko +8 (Likely GOP)
Larry SabatoAugust 05, 2019Katko +4 (Lean GOP)
Inside ElectionsAugust 16, 2019Katko +4 (Lean GOP)
Click here for all New York 24th District Pundit Ratings
No polls available for this race.
Projection Calculations
MetricRaw ValueWeightNet Value
Adjusted pundit ratings5.8100%5.8
Head-to-head pollsn/a0%n/a
Composite GenericDifferenceOffsetAdjustment
January 24, 2020 - details 2.04.00.5
Projection History
DateProjectionOld RatingNew Rating
January 15, 2020Katko +5.4Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
November 16, 2019Katko +4.3Mod GOP HoldWeak GOP Hold
November 02, 2019Katko +5.2Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
October 16, 2019Katko +4.6Mod GOP HoldWeak GOP Hold
October 09, 2019Katko +5.1Weak GOP HoldMod GOP Hold
September 06, 2019Republican +4.4--Weak GOP Hold
Preliminary----Weak GOP Hold