Last night’s Iowa caucuses were marked by competitive races on both sides of the aisle. Republicans picked Ted Cruz over Donald Trump and Marco Rubio, and we may not know for awhile whom Democrats chose. Several storylines are emerging from the night’s results, but I believe there is but one that will matter in the end.The media will be talking about Sanders’ strong showing and how it gives Hillary cause for concern. They’ll discuss Trump’s misstep of skipping the last GOP debate and tout the persistent requirement of a good ground game to compete in Iowa. The polls will, once again, be called out for their inaccuracy, and pundits will point out Jeb Bush’s dismal return on his investment in Iowa. (He spent millions and millions for 3% of the vote.)
This may be a bit premature, but Marco Rubio could very well have won the presidency last night. He proved he could win a substantial chunk of the conservative vote, and his non-Cruz, non-Trump appeal will be huge once we get to the winner-take-all states starting March 15. He is now my favorite to win the nomination. And in what promises to be a Republican year against a less-than-optimal Democratic opponent, he’s also my pick on November 8. Only time will tell if the polls and projections – and more importantly, the votes – confirm my hunch, but until then, I’m convinced Marco Rubio is now on his way to victory this November.