Each week during the 2016 election season, I am publishing a video update discussing how the elections are progressing. The fourth installment is here. After you view the video, please subscribe to EP’s YouTube channel so you won’t miss any future videos. Also, feel free to like the video and share it and to add comments on the YouTube page.
Welcome back to Election Projection’s 2016 Election Update Series. Last week I didn’t post a video because last Friday happened to be my 50th birthday. Since my awesome family planned a wonderful celebration, I wasn’t able to get a video posted.
On the website, I’ve created a fun way to track Trump’s progress. Since I’m not a Trump fan, I hope he won’t get to the convention with a majority. Therefore, I’ve called it the “Stop-Trump-O-Meter”. Basically, it uses a set of criteria to project how many delegates Trump could get from each state left on the schedule. That number before Super Tuesday 2 was 1148 delegates, 89 short of the requisite 1,237. With Kasich winning Ohio and Cruz winning delegates in both Illinois and Missouri, Trump’s projection has dropped by 107 delegates to 1,041. We’ll see things progress as we move through important primaries in states like Arizona and Pennsylvania on our way to the biggest delegate prize on June 7 – California. I’ll close this update by touching on perhaps the biggest story coming out of Super Tuesday 2 – Marco Rubio, fresh off a humiliating 19-point loss in his own state, suspended his campaign. Now, that word “suspend” is pivotal because it impacts the status of his delegates. Next week, I’ll be dedicating the election update video to a discussion of not only Rubio’s delegates, but also the procedure for arriving at a nominee at the RNC in case no one reaches a majority of delegates beforehand. One big question I’ll tackle is what is the difference between a “contested convention and a brokered convention”? Be sure tune in next week for that – And before I go, please remember to subscribe if you haven’t and, as always, please share this video with your friends on social media. Ok, so next week, we’ll be looking back at Super Tuesday, and I hope you’ll join us again next week for that. Talk to you later.